不扩散核武器条约:问题与前景

D. Selezneva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

《不扩散核武器条约》第十次审议大会原定于2020年春季举行,于2022年8月1日至26日举行。该会议本应具有重要的象征意义,因为它最初定于在《不扩散条约》生效50周年和该条约无限期延长25周年的同一年举行。审议大会不出所料,没有达成成果文件,但缔约国已接近达成共识。主要障碍是成果文件中与核电站周围情况有关的措辞。《不扩散条约》第十次审议会议的气氛是沉重的。除了困扰审议进程数十年的“长期”问题外,缔约国还面临着由乌克兰境内及周边事件引发的严重的欧洲安全危机。新的2023-2026年审议周期将再次挑战《不扩散核武器条约》成员国为实现共同目标而进行合作和共同努力的决心。现在比以往任何时候都更有必要维护《不扩散核武器条约》和国际不扩散机制,为当前乌克兰危机得到解决后的未来合作奠定基础。如果各国在下次《不扩散条约》成员国会议之前准备好某些成果,将是非常有益的。这可能包括进一步就美俄军备控制和战略稳定进行谈判,恢复关于伊朗核项目的《联合全面行动计划》,以及就建立中东无核武器和其他大规模杀伤性武器区进行谈判。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: Problems and Prospects
Originally slated for spring 2020, the Tenth Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons took place from August 1 to 26, 2022. The Conference was meant to have an important symbolic significance due to it being initially scheduled to take place in the same year as the 50th anniversary of the entry into force of the NPT and the 25th anniversary of its indefinite extension. As expected, the Review Conference ended without an outcome document, but the states parties came rather close to achieving a consensus. The main obstacle was the wording of the outcome document related to the situation around the Zaporizhzhia NPP. The atmosphere at the Tenth NPT Review Conference was heavy. In addition to ‘chronic’ issues that have plagued the review process for decades, the states parties faced a severe European security crisis fomented by the events in and around Ukraine. The new 2023-2026 NPT review cycle will once again challenge the NPT member states and their resolve to cooperate and work together towards a common goal. Now, more than perhaps ever, it is important to preserve the NPT and the international non-proliferation regime and lay the groundwork for future cooperation that will take place after the current Ukrainian crisis reaches a settlement. It would be highly beneficial if states prepared certain deliverables in advance of the next NPT members meeting. That could include further negotiations on the US-Russia arms control and strategic stability, the restoration of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on Iranian nuclear program and talks on the establishment of a Middle East Zone Free of Nuclear Weapons and other Weapons of Mass Destruction.
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