为企业福利计划提供新动力:通过风险评估提高预期寿命

Gábor Vona
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引用次数: 0

摘要

循环系统疾病是导致死亡的主要原因,这迫使利益攸关方通过采取更有效的预防措施来降低心血管风险。这些风险可以根据性别、年龄、吸烟状况、收缩压和总胆固醇来估计。人工神经网络能够模拟10年心血管死亡率。就预期寿命的潜在收益进行可理解的交流,可通过减轻行为风险来增强健康意识。死亡统计数据的再现需要调整致命性心血管事件发生的推荐概率。本研究涉及心血管风险高和低的国家,选择匈牙利和捷克共和国(高风险)和奥地利(低风险)。在匈牙利,40岁的男性预期寿命分别为(43.4 - 36.2 =)7.21岁和(37.4 - 28.0 =)9.4岁。65岁老人的寿命分别为(21.2 - 15.6 =)5.72岁和(17.1 - 11.3 =)5.8岁。捷克共和国在预期寿命方面处于其他两个国家之间的过渡阶段,各自的增长超过匈牙利的值:(45.8 - 37.8 =)8.0岁,(39.7 - 29.7 =)10.0岁,(23.0 - 16.6 =)6.4岁,(18.2 - 12.3 =)5.9岁。相比之下,在奥地利,一名40岁的妇女可额外获得(46.6 - 41.3 =)5.3年的寿命,而男性的相应应计寿命为(42.3 - 35.7 =)6.6年。到65岁时,增加了(23.4 - 19.3 =)4.1年和(20.0 - 16.1 =)3.9年。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Providing new impetus to corporate well-being programmes: improving life expectancy through risk assessment
Diseases of the circulatory system are leading causes of death, which compel stakeholders to lessen cardiovascular risks by utilising more effective prevention. These risks can be estimated based on gender, age, smoker status, systolic blood pressure, and total cholesterol. Artificial neural networks enable modelling of 10-year cardiovascular mortality rates. Understandable communica-tion of potential gains in life expectancy may enhance health consciousness through mitigating behavioural risks. The reproduction of death statistics requires the adjustment of the recommended probabilities for the occurrence of fatal cardiovascular events. This study deals with countries at high and low cardiovascular risk, selecting Hungary and the Czech Republic (high risk) and Austria (low risk). In Hungary, the gains in life expectancy are (43.4 – 36.2 =) 7.21 years for fe-males and (37.4 – 28.0 =) 9.4 years for males, both aged 40. These figures moderate to (21.2 – 15.6 =) 5.72 and (17.1 – 11.3 =) 5.8 years for elderly people aged 65, respectively. The Czech Republic represents an interim phase between the two other countries regarding ad-vancement in life expectancy, the respective gains exceed the Hungarian values: (45.8 – 37.8 =) 8.0, (39.7 – 29.7 =) 10.0, (23.0 – 16.6 =) 6.4, and (18.2 – 12.3 =) 5.9 years. In contrast, a 40-year-old woman may benefit from an additional (46.6 – 41.3 =) 5.3 years in Austria, while the corresponding accrual for men is (42.3 – 35.7 =) 6.6 years. On reaching 65 years, the increment is (23.4 – 19.3 =) 4.1 and (20.0 – 16.1 =) 3.9 years.
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