G. A. Oktaryani, Iwan Kusuma Negara, Weni Retnowati, Iwan Kusmayadi
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摘要

本研究旨在获得2015年1月至2020年9月期间印度尼西亚IHSG和LQ-45指数每日和每月市场回报存在异常季节性影响的实证证据。以往研究中关于股票收益季节性异常现象的观点和研究结果的多样性使得这一现象的研究变得有趣。我们使用Kruskal Wallis检验分析股票的日收益,而使用单向方差分析分析平均月收益。研究结果表明,在2015年1月至2020年9月的区间研究中,IHSG和LQ-45指数均未证明股票按周日模式(周日效应)和月模式(年月效应)出现异常收益的现象。股票价格预测的结果为投资者制定投资策略提供了支持。此外,这些信息对于选择和决定应该买入和卖出哪些股票也很重要。除投资者外,这些资料对管理当局监测股票价格变动的模式也很有用,使他们能够根据可能出现的威胁来计划、制订战略和采取预期步骤。关键词:异常季节效应,星期效应,月份效应,市场收益
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FENOMENA ANOMALI MUSIMAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM DI INDONESIA
This Research aims to obtain empirical evidence about the existence of anomaly seasonal effects on market returns on a daily and monthly basis on the IHSG and the LQ-45 Index in Indonesia throughout January 2015 untill September 2020. The diversity of arguments and research results regarding the phenomenon of seasonal anomalies in stock returns derived from previous studies make this phenomenon interesting to study. We analyze daily stock returns by using the Kruskal Wallis test, while the average monthly return is analyzed using the one-way Anova. The findings show that the phenomenon of stock anomaly returns according to the daily pattern of the week (day of the week effect) and the monthly pattern (month of the year effect) on IHSG and the LQ-45 Index are not proven within the range research from January 2015 to September 2020. The results of stock price forecasting provide benefits in supporting investors to develop their investment strategies. Futhermore, this information is also important to choose and determine which stocks should be bought and sold. In addition to investors, this information is also useful for management to monitor the pattern of stock price movements, so that they can plan, formulate strategies and take anticipatory steps based on possible threats that could arise.Keywords :Anomaly Seasonal Effect, day of the week effect, month of the year effect, market Return  
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