俄罗斯在塞尔维亚政治中的载体:对区域关系的影响和结果

Dušan Proroković
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引用次数: 1

摘要

俄罗斯恶性影响论是2014年以来欧盟外交政策同质化的关键因素之一。虽然塞尔维亚已宣布成为欧盟成员国是其战略目标,但在此期间,我们发现贝尔格莱德与俄罗斯密切合作。双边会晤的次数增加了,国家间协议的数量成倍增加,军事合作加强了,公众对俄罗斯的看法是积极的多于消极的(这可以从民意调查的结果中看出)。塞尔维亚正在争取加入欧盟,但其外交政策与欧盟和其他主要欧洲国家(德国、法国、英国)所宣布的外交政策目标根本不一致。在某种程度上,甚至可以说塞尔维亚仍然是白俄罗斯边界以西的最后一个“俄罗斯岛”。问题是:为什么?本文首先分析了俄罗斯加强在塞尔维亚影响力的历史和政治原因,以及塞尔维亚与俄罗斯更密切合作的利益,无论欧盟如何。然后,对塞尔维亚政治的“俄罗斯载体的特征”将进行审查-其政治,经济和军事方面。论文的第三部分试图回答这个问题:它将如何影响地区关系?第四部分是结束语。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Russian Vector in Serbian Politics: Impacts and Outcomes on Regional Relations
: The thesis of Russian malignant influence has been one of the key factors of the homogenization of the EU foreign policy since 2014. Although it has been declared that full EU membership is Serbia’s strategic goal, in this period, we are detecting Belgrade’s intensive collaboration with Russia. The number of bilateral meetings has been increased, the number of interstate agreements has multiplied, military cooperation intensified, and public opinion towards Russia is more positive than negative (which can be seen in the results of opinion polls). Serbia is striving for the EU, but its foreign policy is not at all in line with the proclaimed foreign policy goals of the EU and other key European countries (Germany, France, the UK). To some extent, it can even be stated that Serbia remains the last ‘island of Russophilia’ west of the border of Belarus. The question is: why? This article first analyzes the historical and political reasons for strengthening Russian influence in Serbia, as well as Serbia’s interests to work more closely with Russia, regardless of the EU. Then, the ‘character of the Russian vector’ on Serbian politics will be examined - its political, economic, and military dimension. The third part of the paper seeks to answer the question: how will it affect regional relations? The fourth part is the concluding considerations.
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