利用基于主体的模型研究农民回用水的微观动态及其对当地水资源的影响

F. Shoushtarian, M. Negahban-Azar, A. Crooks
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摘要

农业用水回用正成为解决全球淡水短缺问题的动力。本文的主要目的是研究流域尺度上农户回用水资源的微观动态。开发了一个基于agent的模型来模拟农业用水和社会水文动态。以美国加利福尼亚州为例,对所建立的模型进行了验证,结果表明农民采用农业中水回用是一个渐进且耗时的过程。农业中水回用可显著减少水资源短缺(减少57.7%)和地下水抽取(减少74.1%)。此外,我们的研究结果表明,循环水价格是农户循环水消费总量的最大影响因素。研究结果还表明,淡水短缺或地下水开采法规可能会增加农民对循环水的使用。所建立的模型可以显著地帮助评估当前的水再利用管理实践和战略如何影响农业水资源的可持续性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating the micro-level dynamics of water reuse adoption by farmers and the impacts on local water resources using an agent-based model
Agricultural water reuse is gaining momentum to address freshwater scarcity worldwide. The main objective of this paper was to investigate the micro-level dynamics of water reuse adoption by farmers at the watershed scale. An agent-based model was developed to simulate agricultural water consumption and socio-hydrological dynamics. Using a case study in California, the developed model was tested, and the results showed that agricultural water reuse adoption by farmers is a gradual and time-consuming process. In addition, results also showed that agricultural water reuse could significantly decrease the water shortage (by 57.7%) and groundwater withdrawal (by 74.1%). Furthermore, our results suggest that recycled water price was the most influential factor in total recycled water consumption by farmers. Results also showed how possible freshwater shortage or groundwater withdrawal regulations could increase recycled water use by farmers. The developed model can significantly help assess how the current water reuse management practices and strategies would affect the sustainability of agricultural water resources.
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