外国直接投资与国家外部财富:估值有多重要?

Jannick Damgaard, Thomas Elkjaer
{"title":"外国直接投资与国家外部财富:估值有多重要?","authors":"Jannick Damgaard, Thomas Elkjaer","doi":"10.1111/roiw.12098","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"type=\"main\"> While the balance sheet approach has increased the focus on position data, differences in valuation practices for foreign direct investment (FDI) make cross-country comparisons difficult. To enhance comparability, the IMF's Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, sixth edition, which some countries have already implemented and others will implement in the coming years, recommends seven methods for valuation of unlisted FDI. This paper demonstrates that both the valuation method and simple differences in estimation techniques can fundamentally change a country's financial balance sheet. Using Denmark as an illustration, unlisted FDI equity liabilities vary from 22 to 156 percent of GDP when applying different estimation techniques, but just one valuation method, price to earnings. These measurement uncertainties can lead to important misunderstandings and affect policy recommendations, thus pointing to the need for further international harmonization. While the results are presented in an FDI context, the uncertainties also apply to other macroeconomic datasets, including national accounts statistics.","PeriodicalId":410371,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Other Microeconomics: Welfare Economics & Collective Decision-Making (Topic)","volume":"140 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2014-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"17","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Foreign Direct Investment and the External Wealth of Nations: How Important is Valuation?\",\"authors\":\"Jannick Damgaard, Thomas Elkjaer\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/roiw.12098\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"type=\\\"main\\\"> While the balance sheet approach has increased the focus on position data, differences in valuation practices for foreign direct investment (FDI) make cross-country comparisons difficult. To enhance comparability, the IMF's Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, sixth edition, which some countries have already implemented and others will implement in the coming years, recommends seven methods for valuation of unlisted FDI. This paper demonstrates that both the valuation method and simple differences in estimation techniques can fundamentally change a country's financial balance sheet. Using Denmark as an illustration, unlisted FDI equity liabilities vary from 22 to 156 percent of GDP when applying different estimation techniques, but just one valuation method, price to earnings. These measurement uncertainties can lead to important misunderstandings and affect policy recommendations, thus pointing to the need for further international harmonization. While the results are presented in an FDI context, the uncertainties also apply to other macroeconomic datasets, including national accounts statistics.\",\"PeriodicalId\":410371,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ERN: Other Microeconomics: Welfare Economics & Collective Decision-Making (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"140 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2014-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"17\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ERN: Other Microeconomics: Welfare Economics & Collective Decision-Making (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/roiw.12098\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Other Microeconomics: Welfare Economics & Collective Decision-Making (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/roiw.12098","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 17

摘要

虽然资产负债表方法增加了对头寸数据的关注,但外国直接投资(FDI)估值实践的差异使跨国比较变得困难。为了加强可比性,货币基金组织的《国际收支和国际投资头寸手册》第六版(一些国家已经实施,其他国家将在今后几年内实施)建议了评估未上市外国直接投资的七种方法。本文论证了估值方法和估值技术的简单差异都可以从根本上改变一个国家的金融资产负债表。以丹麦为例,在应用不同的估计技术时,未上市的外国直接投资股权负债占GDP的比例从22%到156%不等,但只有一种估值方法,即市盈率。这些测量的不确定性可能导致严重的误解并影响政策建议,从而指出需要进一步的国际协调。虽然这些结果是在外国直接投资的背景下提出的,但不确定性也适用于其他宏观经济数据集,包括国民核算统计数据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign Direct Investment and the External Wealth of Nations: How Important is Valuation?
type="main"> While the balance sheet approach has increased the focus on position data, differences in valuation practices for foreign direct investment (FDI) make cross-country comparisons difficult. To enhance comparability, the IMF's Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, sixth edition, which some countries have already implemented and others will implement in the coming years, recommends seven methods for valuation of unlisted FDI. This paper demonstrates that both the valuation method and simple differences in estimation techniques can fundamentally change a country's financial balance sheet. Using Denmark as an illustration, unlisted FDI equity liabilities vary from 22 to 156 percent of GDP when applying different estimation techniques, but just one valuation method, price to earnings. These measurement uncertainties can lead to important misunderstandings and affect policy recommendations, thus pointing to the need for further international harmonization. While the results are presented in an FDI context, the uncertainties also apply to other macroeconomic datasets, including national accounts statistics.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信