2025年前智能信息处理技术的发展趋势

A. Skulimowski
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文介绍了最近的研究项目SCETIST(2010-2013)的方法和结果,该项目致力于对选定的人工智能技术进行预测。人工智能的趋势和场景已经通过专家德尔福以及通过一个混合的离散时间和离散事件控制系统的模拟得出。系统组件包括一个复杂的信息社会模型,该模型描述了与智能技术的生产和吸附相关的社会、经济和科学因素的演变。离散事件组件被定制为在考虑的每个领域对科学技术(S&T)发展过程进行建模。我们特别研究了智能互联网技术的发展,包括电子医疗、电子政务和专家系统。特别关注决策支持系统、数字创意和推荐。其他项目工作包包括神经认知和计算机视觉系统,以及量子和分子计算。最后,我们将介绍在全球经济和研究趋势背景下基于规则和创造力支持系统演变的相关结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An insight into the evolution of intelligent information processing technologies until 2025
This paper presents the methodology and results of a recent research project SCETIST (2010-2013) devoted to foresight of selected artificial intelligence technologies. The AI trends and scenarios have been elicited using expert Delphi as well as via a simulation of a hybrid discrete-time and discrete-event control system. The system components include a complex information society model, which describes the evolution of social, economic and scientific factors relevant to the production and adsorption of intelligent technologies. The discrete-event component is tailored to model the and science and technology (S&T) development processes in each area under consideration. We specifically investigated the development of intelligent internet technologies, including e-health, e-government and expert systems. Special attention has been paid to decision support systems, digital creativity, and recommenders. Other project work-packages encompass neurocognitive and computer vision systems, as well as quantum and molecular computing. Finally, we will present the results related to the evolution of rule-based and creativity support systems in the context of global economic and research trends.
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