欧元区和美国财政政策冲击:一项实证评估

Pablo Burriel, Francisco de Castro, Daniel Garrote, Esther Gordo Mora, Joan Paredes, Javier J. Pérez
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引用次数: 197

摘要

我们使用1981-2007年期间最新的财政变量季度数据集,分析了整个欧元区财政政策冲击的影响。为了与欧元区国家和美国之前的结果具有可比性,我们使用了标准的结构性VAR框架,并研究了汇总和分类政府支出以及净税收冲击的影响。此外,为了构建欧元区的结果,我们对美国数据采用了相同样本时期的相同方法。我们还探讨了所提供结果对包含旨在测量“财务压力”(风险增加)和“财政压力”(可持续性问题)的变量的敏感性。用一种通用的方法分析美国和欧元区的数据,可以为解读财政政策冲击提供一些有趣的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the US: An Empirical Assessment
We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and study the impact of aggregated and disaggregated government spending and net taxes shocks. In addition, to frame euro area results, we apply the same methodology for the same sample period to US data. We also explore the sensitivity of the provided results to the inclusion of variables aiming at measuring "financial stress" (increases in risk) and "fiscal stress" (sustainability concerns). Analysing US and euro area data with a common methodology provides some interesting insights on the interpretation of fiscal policy shocks.
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