欧盟国家结构的变化

Manuela Raisová
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的二十年里,生产力和就业的不同发展,以及危机和随后的全球经济复苏,导致了所有欧盟国家经济结构的不同部分发生了重大变化。我们研究的目的是考察欧洲国家经济结构基本部分的变化。通过1995年至2017年期间的总增加值(按现行价格计算)和就业指标来评估细分市场的发展。我们比较了两大类欧洲国家——原欧盟国家和新欧盟国家的情况。我们注意到,这些群体之间存在显著差异,特别是在20世纪90年代。随后,新国家的结构发生了变化,缩小了国家之间的差距。各国之间的结构性差距平均在缓慢缩小。然而,危机大大推迟了趋同进程,经济恢复期尚未恢复到危机前的状况。相反,在危机结束后,结构性差距在一些情况下再次扩大。在本文中,我们的目标是爱沙尼亚和德国的比较。爱沙尼亚恰恰是危机结束后结构差距扩大的国家集团的代表。另一方面,德国经济被视为欧洲政治和经济的稳定支柱。我们认为德国是老牌欧盟国家中经济实力最强的代表。从这个角度来看,我们的研究是基于爱沙尼亚希望使其经济更接近德国经济的假设。我们观察了爱沙尼亚经济是接近还是远离德国经济。我们的研究结果证实,德国经济是稳定的,20多年来基本没有变化。然而,爱沙尼亚经济正在向德国经济靠拢的假设尚未得到证实。事实可能恰恰相反。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE IN EU COUNTRIES
The divergent developments in productivity and employment over the past two decades, as well as the crisis and subsequent recovery of the global economy have led to significant changes in different parts of the economic structure in all EU countries. The aim of our study was to examine changes in the basic segments of the economic structure of European countries. The development of segments is assessed through the indicator of gross added value (in current prices) and employment in the period 1995 to 2017. We compared the situation of the two main groups of European countries - the original and new EU countries. We note that there are significant differences between these groups, especially in the 1990s. Subsequently, there have been changes in the structure of new countries that have narrowed the gap between countries. The structural gap between countries has slowly diminished in average. However, the crisis has significantly delayed the process of convergence and the economic recovery period has not recovered to the pre-crisis situation. On the contrary, after the end of crisis the structural gap has thus re-expanded in a number of cases. In this article we target on the comparison of Estonia and Germany. Estonia represents precisely the group of countries whose structural gap has widened after the end of the crisis. On the other hand, the German economy is seen as a stable backbone of European politics and economics. We considered Germany the most economically strong representative of the old EU countries. From this point of view, our research was based on the assumption that Estonia wants to bring its economy closer to Germany’s economy. We monitored whether the Estonian economy was getting closer or moved away from the German economy. Our results confirmed that Germany’s economy is stable and more or less unchanged for more than 20 years. However, the assumption that Estonia’s economy is moving closer to Germany’s economy has not been confirmed. The opposite is probably true.
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