新冠肺炎危机对全球金融失衡的影响

Valentina Fetiniuc, Ivan Luchian
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引用次数: 0

摘要

Kovalev和Paseko在综合国际金融危机机制相关理论的基础上,提出了全球失衡协同模型(global imbalance synergy Model),通过表现不同失衡的链条,证实了全球经济和金融危机的产生。该模型从全球货币和人口失衡出发,决定了全球经济实体和金融部门之间的失衡,以及跨国公司的实际价值和市场价值之间的失衡。它们共同导致工业发达国家和发展中国家全球财富分配的不平衡,以及工业发达国家消费和收入之间的不平衡。该领域的研究已经证明了该模型的可行性和实用性。目前的情况倾向于在这个模型中做一些澄清。首先,它是关于2018年顺周期经济危机的爆发,在此背景下,2020年爆发了一场全球性的经济危机。其次,后者往往会加剧全球失衡,最终可能引发全球金融危机。负面影响的全球贸易冲突、持续的货币冲突和不断膨胀的金融泡沫加剧了这种情况。这种情况需要在全球一级采取紧急补救行动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of the covid-19 crisis on global financial imbalances
Abstract Following the synthesis of theories related to the mechanisms of international financial crises, authors Kovalev and Paseko developed the Model of global imbalance synergy, which substantiates the idea of generating economic and financial crisis situations globally by manifesting the chain of different imbalances. The model starts from global monetary and demographic imbalances, which determine the imbalances between real and financial sector of global economy, as well as real and market values of transnational companies. Together they all lead to imbalances in the distribution of global wealth in industrially developed and developing countries, as well as imbalance between consumption and income in industrially developed countries. Studies in this area have demonstrated the viability and usefulness of this model. The current situation tends to make some clarifications in this model. First of all, it is about the onset of a pro-cyclical economic crisis in 2018, against the background of which in 2020 an economic crisis of a pandemic nature began. Secondly, the latter tends to exacerbate global imbalances, which may ultimately trigger a global financial crisis. The situation is exacerbated by global trade conflicts with negative consequences, continued currency clashes and inflated financial bubbles. This situation requires urgent remedial actions at the global level.
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