中国棉花贸易虚拟土地计量及影响因素研究

Leona Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于中国棉花产业发展现状、棉花贸易规模和棉花贸易伙伴国,测算分析1980 - 2021年虚拟土地上棉花的进出口总量,并根据这些国家各自的棉花单产计算出这些国家对中国进出口棉花的虚拟土地含量。分析中国棉花贸易中虚拟土地净进口的原因,利用Stata多元线性回归分析中国棉花贸易中虚拟土地净进口的影响因素。研究结果表明,中国在棉花贸易中是虚拟土地的净进口国,且贸易具有高度的地理集中性。国内供给满足需求趋向于棉花消费趋势,棉花虚拟土地净进口受外部和内部因素双重影响。最后,研究人员建议中国应在保障棉花进口的背景下促进棉花进口的多样性,通过建立标准化的棉花关税来提高全球棉花贸易效率,加快多边自由贸易,构建优质的全球棉花价值链,建立友好的国际关系,积极实施棉花“走出去”战略,促进国内市场自由化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Study of Virtual Land Measurement and Influencing Factors of Cotton Trade in China
Based on China’s current cotton industry development situation, cotton trade scale and cotton trading partner countries, the researchers measure and analyze the total import and export volume of cotton on the virtual land between 1980 and 2021, calculate the virtual land content of cotton imported and exported to China from these countries based on their respective cotton yield per area, analyze the reasons for the net import of virtual land in China’s cotton trade and use Multiple Linear Regression on Stata to discuss the factors that influence the net import of virtual land in China’s cotton trade. The research results find out that China is the net importer of virtual land in the cotton trade and the trade is highly geographically concentrated. Domestic supply meeting demand tends to be the cotton consumption trend, and the net import of cotton virtual land is affected by both external and internal factors. Finally, the researchers suggest that China should promote the diversity of cotton import in the context of securing cotton import, raise global cotton trade efficiency through establishing standardized cotton tariffs, accelerate multilateral free trade, build premium global cotton value chain, establish friendly international relations, actively implement the cotton “go global” strategy and stimulate domestic market liberalization.
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