金砖国家和金砖国家对世界经济的影响及协整分析——1962-2012年七国集团增长率长期关系

Bilal Kargi
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引用次数: 3

摘要

在这篇文章中,长期数据分析了世界经济的总增长和增长的发达国家(七国集团)和快速发展的经济体。金砖国家从2008年开始举行会晤,成为大家熟知的国家。除金砖国家会议外,墨西哥、阿根廷、土耳其、印度尼西亚、韩国等快速发展的国家被定义为matii。特别是,本研究的基本假设是将金砖国家+MATIK经济份额缓慢增长的国家与七国集团和全球经济进行比较,i)金砖国家+MATIK经济体对世界经济增长率的帮助迅速增加;ii)金砖国家+MATIK经济体与世界经济增长长期协整的假设。这样,g7对世界经济增长的帮助可能会与金砖四国+金砖四国经济体的帮助进行比较。该研究使用了1962年至2012年期间的年度数据。时间序列分析用于检验假设。最重要的发现是金砖国家+金砖四国经济体影响世界经济的增长速度,并在g7的帮助下作为统计数据不断增加。从长期来看,世界经济、七国集团经济和金砖国家+金砖四国经济是共同融合的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effects of BRICS and Matik Countries on World Economy and Cointegration Analysis the Long Term Relation G-7 Growth Rates (1962-2012)
In this article, long term data is analyzed for the total growth of the world economy and the growth of developed (G7) and of the rapid developing economies. BRICS countries are known countries with their meetings since 2008. Rapidly developing countries such as Mexico, Argentina, Turkey, Indonesia and Korea are defined as MATIKin thisanalysisexceptthecountriesfor BRICS meeting. Especially, the basic hypotheses of this study is that BRICS+MATIK countries whose economic shares slowly increase were compared with G-7 and the global economy, i) Help of BRICS+MATIK economies rapidly increase for the growth rate of world economy: ii)They’re the hypotheses that BRICS+MATIK economies are cointegrated with the growth of world economy in long term. In this way, it may be possible that the help of G-7 is compared with the help of BRICS+MATIK economies for the growth of world economy. The study uses the annual data of the 1962-2012 periods. Time series analysis is used to test the hypotheses. The most important finding is that BRICS+MATIK economies affect the growth rate of world economy, and it constantly increases as statistic according to the help of G-7.The result has been acquired that World, G-7, and BRICS+MATIK economies cointegrated in the long term.
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