世界经济。恢复力还是大重置?

Ivo Pezzuto
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引用次数: 1

摘要

与以往的其他健康危机一样,2019冠状病毒病大流行是一场严重且不可预测的事件,肯定会在未来几年在世界各地留下持久的经济和社会创伤,但希望它也可能成为更光明和更可持续未来的催化剂,这要归功于社会中新的优先事项、价值观和生活习惯的加速发展,以及工业转型、数字化、自动化、整合的快速变化。供应链的重新配置,生产力的提高,以及令人兴奋的新商业模式的发明。全球社会几乎同时受到这场大流行病危机的打击,这一事实肯定会成为推动经济变革、适应和复原力的强大动力,并推动制定更迅速、更协调的全球危机解决战略。严重的健康和社会危机往往可以成为意想不到的创新的催化剂;新的思想浪潮,以及重新构想和重建新的、更包容、可持续和环境友好型经济模式和更负责任的社会契约的灵感。事实上,历史告诉我们,无论遇到多么艰难的事情,人类总能找到前进的道路。创造力、颠覆性创新和一些最难以想象的新发现往往是在长时间的痛苦和艰难之后才出现的。随着消费者和企业学会适应“新常态”并重塑自我,这场危机正在新的商业领域,特别是与可持续性、清洁和可再生能源、移动和运输、数字化、社会企业家精神和太空探索相关的新兴行业,开辟或加速新的令人兴奋的增长和创造就业机会。本文旨在通过数据分析,探讨后新冠肺炎时代世界经济面临的一些最大挑战和机遇,以及与巨大外部性相关的重大伤亡和潜在风险。本文还旨在强调在这场大流行病危机开始时的独特和具体脆弱性,以及迫切需要采取全球协调一致的政策应对措施来解决这些问题,以使世界经济更具弹性。文章还在结论中回顾了人类及其高度相互依存和相互联系的社区在全球化世界中克服最困难挑战的独特和无与伦比的能力,并找到灵感,将COVID-19等严重和戏剧性的健康、经济和社会危机转化为新的、大胆的和光明的重生的种子;一个强大的新复苏轨迹,朝着更具弹性、包容性、公平和社会责任的经济模式发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
World Economy. Resilience or Great Reset?
The COVID-19 pandemic, like other previous health crises, was a severe and unlikely predictable event that will certainly leave lasting economic and social scars around the world in the years to come, but hopefully, it will also probably become the catalyst of a brighter and more sustainable future, thanks to the acceleration of new priorities, values, and lifestyle habits in society and to the rapid changes in industries’ transformation, digitalization, automation, consolidation, reconfiguration of supply chains, productivity enhancements, and the invention of exciting new business models. The fact that the global communities have been hit by this pandemic crisis almost simultaneously will certainly become a powerful driver of change, adaptation, and resilience for economies, and the enabler of a more rapid and coordinated global crisis resolution strategy. Dramatic health and social crises often can become the catalyst of unexpected innovations;of new waves of ideas, and the inspiration for reimagining and rebuilding a new and more inclusive, sustainable, and environmentally-friendly economic model and a more socially-responsible social contract. In fact, history teaches us that human kind has always found a way forward, no matter how hard things have been. Creativity, disruptive innovations, and some of the most unimaginable new discoveries have often come to life after prolonged periods of suffering and hardship. This crisis is opening up or accelerating new exciting growth and job creation opportunities in new areas of business and, in particular, in new emerging industries related to sustainability;clean and renewable energy sources;mobility and transportation;digitalization, social entrepreneurship, and space exploration, as consumer and firms learn to adapt to the “New Normal” and to reinvent themselves. The article aims to explore, through data-dependent analyses, some of the greatest challenges and opportunities facing the world economy in the post-COVID-19 era and the major casualties and potential risks related to the dramatic externality.The article also aims to highlight unique and specific fragilities at the onset of this pandemic crisis and the urgent need for a globally-coordinated policy response to address them in order to make the world economy more resilient. the article also recalls in his conclusion the unique and unparalleled abilities of human kind, and its highly interdependent and interconnected communities in a globalized world, to overcome the most difficult challenges and to find the inspiration to turn severe and dramatic health, economic and social crises, like COVID-19, into the seeds for a new, bold and brighter rebirth;a robust new recovery trajectory towards a more resilient, inclusive, fair, and socially-responsible economic model.
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