土耳其货币增长与通货膨胀的前滞后关系:来自小波分析的新证据

Tursoy, Turgut, Turgut Tursoy, Muhammad Mar’I
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本研究以1987 - 2019年为研究时段,运用小波分析方法,主要采用连续小波分析、交叉小波变换、小波相干与相位差等方法,对货币供给与通货膨胀与土耳其的关系进行了研究。我们的主要发现证实了现代货币数量理论关于通货膨胀与货币供给在短期和长期存在关系的观点,也证实了传统货币数量理论关于长期存在关系的观点。相位差证实了货币供给与通货膨胀之间存在双向关系。这与传统的长期货币数量理论和现代的短期和长期货币数量理论在货币供给与通货膨胀之间存在关系方面是一致的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
LEAD-LAG AND RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MONEY GROWTH AND INFLATION IN TURKEY: NEW EVIDENCE FROM A WAVELET ANALYSIS
The study investigates the relationship between money supply and inflation and Turkey by employing wavelet analysis, mainly continuous wavelet analysis, cross wavelet transforms and wavelet coherence and phase-difference, for the period from 1987 to 2019. Our main finding confirms the modern quantity theory of money about the existence of a relationship between inflation and money supply in the short-run and long-run, and also confirms the traditional quantity theory of money about the existence of a relationship in the long run. The phase difference confirms the existence of a bidirectional relationship between money supply and inflation. The result is consistent with both the traditional quantity theory of money in the long run and the modern quantity theory of money in the short-run and long-run in terms of the existence of a relationship between money supply and inflation.
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