散户交易与收益定价

Jeremy Michels
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引用次数: 2

摘要

新技术降低了散户投资者的交易成本。在本文中,我研究了散户投资者交易的相应激增如何与收益定价相关联。我用罗宾汉用户持有公司股票的数量来衡量散户投资者的交易。我发现,这些相对缺乏经验的投资者的增加,与市场对正面和负面收益意外的更积极反应有关。这表现为,对于盈利惊喜,市场对单位盈利惊喜的整体反应更为明显,而对于盈利惊喜,市场对单位盈利惊喜的反应则较为温和。进一步的盘中分析表明,散户投资者对财报公布后的股票回报做出反应,而不是财报消息本身。最后,在规模较小的公司和做空成本较高的公司中,无论盈利意外是正面还是负面,当零售交易处于高位时,收益公布后,回报率都会上升。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Retail Investor Trade and the Pricing of Earnings
New technologies have reduced trading costs for retail investors. In this paper, I examine how the corresponding surge in retail investor trade is associated with the pricing of earnings. I measure retail investor trade with the number of Robinhood users holding a firm’s shares. I find increases in these relatively inexperienced investors are associated with a more positive market response to both positive and negative earnings surprises. This manifests in a more pronounced overall market response per unit of earnings surprise for positive earnings surprises but a muted market response for negative earnings surprises. Further intraday analysis suggests that retail investors respond to stock returns following the earnings announcement instead of the earnings news itself. Finally, in smaller firms and firms that are costly to sell short, and for both the most positive and negative earnings surprises, returns drift upward following the earnings announcement when retail trade is high.
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