{"title":"气候变化对滨海集水区径流形成的影响——以巴比卡河集水区为例","authors":"P. Zima","doi":"10.1109/BGC-GEOMATICS.2018.00051","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The paper presents the impact of taking into account climate change in the perspective of 2050 on the results of hydrological calculations of characteristic flows in the hydrographically diverse seaside catchment area on the example of the Babica river catchment. A mathematical model of the Babica river catchment was made in the HEC-HMS program. The SCS method was used. The outflow from the basin was analysed for waters with a specified probability of exceedance for the adopted synthetic hietogram for rainfall with a probability of exceeding p = 10 %, p = 1 % and p = 0.2 %. To determine the maximum amount of rainfall in the assumed calculation time, formula of Institute of Meteorology and Water Management for the analysed area was used. The calculations took into account the impact of climate change on the amount of precipitation in the perspective of 2050 - A1B scenario was used.","PeriodicalId":145350,"journal":{"name":"2018 Baltic Geodetic Congress (BGC Geomatics)","volume":"78 2","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Impact of Climate Change on a Runoff Formation in Seaside Catchment Area on the Example of the Babica River Catchment\",\"authors\":\"P. Zima\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/BGC-GEOMATICS.2018.00051\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The paper presents the impact of taking into account climate change in the perspective of 2050 on the results of hydrological calculations of characteristic flows in the hydrographically diverse seaside catchment area on the example of the Babica river catchment. A mathematical model of the Babica river catchment was made in the HEC-HMS program. The SCS method was used. The outflow from the basin was analysed for waters with a specified probability of exceedance for the adopted synthetic hietogram for rainfall with a probability of exceeding p = 10 %, p = 1 % and p = 0.2 %. To determine the maximum amount of rainfall in the assumed calculation time, formula of Institute of Meteorology and Water Management for the analysed area was used. The calculations took into account the impact of climate change on the amount of precipitation in the perspective of 2050 - A1B scenario was used.\",\"PeriodicalId\":145350,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2018 Baltic Geodetic Congress (BGC Geomatics)\",\"volume\":\"78 2\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2018 Baltic Geodetic Congress (BGC Geomatics)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/BGC-GEOMATICS.2018.00051\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2018 Baltic Geodetic Congress (BGC Geomatics)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/BGC-GEOMATICS.2018.00051","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
本文以巴比卡河集水区为例,介绍了考虑2050年气候变化对不同水文特征的海边集水区水文计算结果的影响。在HEC-HMS程序中建立了巴比卡河流域的数学模型。采用SCS法。在采用的降雨合成直方图中,对流域流出的水进行了特定概率的分析,其中概率超过p = 10%, p = 1%和p = 0.2%。为了确定假定计算时间内的最大降雨量,采用了分析区气象与水管理研究所的公式。计算中考虑了气候变化对2050 - A1B情景下降水量的影响。
Impact of Climate Change on a Runoff Formation in Seaside Catchment Area on the Example of the Babica River Catchment
The paper presents the impact of taking into account climate change in the perspective of 2050 on the results of hydrological calculations of characteristic flows in the hydrographically diverse seaside catchment area on the example of the Babica river catchment. A mathematical model of the Babica river catchment was made in the HEC-HMS program. The SCS method was used. The outflow from the basin was analysed for waters with a specified probability of exceedance for the adopted synthetic hietogram for rainfall with a probability of exceeding p = 10 %, p = 1 % and p = 0.2 %. To determine the maximum amount of rainfall in the assumed calculation time, formula of Institute of Meteorology and Water Management for the analysed area was used. The calculations took into account the impact of climate change on the amount of precipitation in the perspective of 2050 - A1B scenario was used.