使用机器学习进行电力负荷预测

Shripad G. Desai, Tanmay Dalal, S. Kadam, Sudhanshu Mishra
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引用次数: 0

摘要

电力负荷的短期预测分析对电力公司至关重要。负荷预测在有效的能源规划和财务管理中起着关键作用。虽然机器学习模型已经在预测分析方面进行了测试,但本文采用了IT巨头Facebook公司开发的一种名为“Prophet”的新开发的预测模型。由于缺乏使用该模型的研究,本文基于时间、温度、湿度和天气预报等几个因素来预测电力负荷消耗。该模型给出了一个近似假设,因此用于预测建模。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electrical Load Forecasting using Machine Learning
Short-term predictive analysis on electrical load is of utmost importance to the utility company. Load forecasting plays a key role in effective energy planning as well as managing finances. Although machine learning models are already tested for predictive analysis, this paper has employed a newly developed forecasting model known as ‘Prophet’ developed by the IT major Facebook Inc. Owing to lack of research using this model, this paper predicts electrical load consumption based on several factors viz. Time, Temperature, Humidity, and Weather forecast. This model gives an approximate assumption and thus used for predictive modeling.
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