政治行为的启发式

M. Steenbergen, Céline Colombo
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引用次数: 8

摘要

政治是复杂的事情。无论一个人是立法者还是公民,做出政治决定很少是容易的。人们如何处理这种复杂性的问题已经困扰了学者们几十年,如果不是几个世纪的话。20世纪70年代出现的一个重要答案是,决策者依靠启发式来驯服错综复杂的政治。启发式是一种(认知)捷径,它允许决策者绕过大量信息,同时以判断或选择的形式产生输出。这种产出往往与对有关决策的资料进行全面考虑所产生的产出难以区分。在其他时候,输出可能不是最佳的,但它们已经足够好了。然而,启发式方法也可能引入可怕的偏见,并导致较差的决策。本章回顾了大众和政治精英使用启发式的文献。它讨论了所使用的各种启发式,它们是如何起作用的,以及为什么它们既是不可避免的,又是容易出错的。最后,本章考虑了启发式在政治行为中的规范含义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Heuristics in Political Behavior
Politics is a complex affair. Whether one is a legislator or a citizen, making political decisions is rarely easy. The question of how people deal with this complexity has been on the minds of scholars for decades, if not centuries. One important answer, which emerged in the 1970s, is that decision makers rely on heuristics to tame the intricacies of politics. Heuristics are (cognitive) shortcuts that allow decision makers to bypass a great deal of information while producing an output in the form of a judgment or choice. Often such outputs are indistinguishable from what a complete consideration of the decision-relevant information would have produced. At other times the outputs may not be optimal, but they are good enough. It can also happen, however, that heuristics introduce formidable biases and result in inferior decisions. This chapter reviews the literature on heuristics use by the mass public and political elites. It discusses the kinds of heuristics that are used, how they function, and why they are both inevitable and fallible. Finally, the chapter considers the normative implications of heuristics in political behavior.
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