尼日利亚制造业的通货膨胀和产能利用率

O. Ishola
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究借鉴Baylor(2001)的模型,实证分析了通货膨胀与产能利用率之间的关系。采用最小二乘多元回归技术对时间序列二次数据进行分析。使用ADF检验对所使用的季度数据进行平稳性检验。多元回归结果显示通货膨胀与产能利用率之间存在显著的负相关关系。这一发现与支撑通胀与产能利用率之间关系应为正的直觉的经济学观点相反。我们还发现,尽管两者之间的关系随着时间的推移变化很大,但该模型显示,如果当前的产能利用率翻一番,尼日利亚的通货膨胀率将下降3.6%。关键词:产能利用率,通货膨胀,制造业
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Inflation and capacity utilisation in Nigeria’s manufacturing sector
This study analysed the relationship between inflation and capacity utilisation empirically leaning on the model employed by Baylor (2001). It utilised time series secondary data using least square multiple regression technique. The quarterly data utilised were tested for stationarity using ADF test. The multiple regression results showed a significant negative relationship between inflation and capacity utilisation. This finding was contrary to the economic argument which underpinned the intuition that the relationship between inflation and capacity utilisation should be positive. We also found that although the relationship between the two varied significantly over time, the model revealed that if current capacity utilisation rate doubled, inflation will decline by 3.6 per cent in Nigeria. Keywords : Capacity utilisation, Inflation, Manufacturing
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