巴基斯坦能源展望

2014 International Conference on Energy Systems and Policies (ICESP) Pub Date : 2014-11-01 DOI:10.1109/ICESP.2014.7346996

K. P. Amber, Naila Ashraf

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引用次数: 6

摘要

由于能源需求的增加和在动员能源资源方面缺乏投资，巴基斯坦正面临着其历史上严重的能源危机。本文旨在讨论巴基斯坦电力生产的能源前景和实现绿色环境的途径。国内生产总值和人口是能源需求增长背后的主要推动力。巴基斯坦的电力需求总是随着GDP和人口的增长而增长。据巴基斯坦石油和自然资源部预测，2012年巴基斯坦电力增长比2011年增长0.75%。这一增长是由工业和政府部门的强劲需求推动的。总体而言，由于电力短缺，电力消耗占总能源消耗的比例从2007年的13.6%下降到2012年的12.5%。据报道，2012年总发电量为95TWh，而用电量为76.7TWh，线路损耗为17.3%。石油仍然是巴基斯坦的主要燃料来源，占电力总发电燃料组合的35.2%，其次是水力，29.9%，天然气，29%，核能和进口，5.8%和煤炭，0.1%。到2016年，Quide-Azam太阳能公园和45个正在进行的风能项目将向国家电网注入总计4200兆瓦的电力，预计电力短缺问题将得到缓解。

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Energy outlook in Pakistan

Pakistan is facing a severe energy crisis of its history due to increase in the energy demand and lack of investment in mobilizing its energy resources. This paper aims to discuss the energy outlook and ways toward greener environment in electricity production in Pakistan. Gross domestic product and population are the major drivers behind the growing demand for energy. Demand for electricity in Pakistan is always growing with its GDP and population growth. The growth for electricity in Pakistan forecasted by Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Resources has shown an increase of 0.75% in 2012 compared to 2011. This growth has been driven by strong demand from industrial and government sectors. Overall, the share of electricity consumption to total energy consumption has decreased due to short fall of electricity from 13.6% in 2007 to 12.5% in 2012. The total electricity generation was reported at 95TWh in 2012 whereas electricity consumption was 76.7TWh showing 17.3% line losses. Oil is still the major fuel source in Pakistan contributing to 35.2% of the total generation fuel mix of electricity followed by hydro, 29.9%, gas, 29% nuclear and imported, 5.8% and Coal, 0.1%. The shortfall of electricity is expected to drop when the Quide-Azam solar park and 45 ongoing wind energy projects will inject a total of 4200 MW electricity into the national grid by 2016.

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来源期刊

2014 International Conference on Energy Systems and Policies (ICESP)

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