{"title":"2019冠状病毒病大流行期间莫斯科消化系统疾病死亡率结构的变化","authors":"T. Sabgayda, A. Edeleva","doi":"10.21045/2071-5021-2022-68-4-1","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Significance. Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and the drugs used to treat it affect the course of gastroenterological diseases. Does this change the population mortality structure? Purpose: the purpose of the study was to determine changes in the structure of mortality from diseases of the digestive system against the background of the COVID-19 pandemic. Material and Methods. The study was conducted using the database Registration of the Facts of Death - \"The Unified Medical Information and Analytical System of the City of Moscow\" on people who died from digestive diseases in 2019 - 2021. Death dynamics among the Muscovites was analysed using Rosstat data for 2010-2020. The share of individual diseases in the structure of death causes, frequency of digestive disease indication in the second part of the medical death certificate in case of death from COVID-19 and average age of death were analysed. Comparison of shares of individual causes in different years was carried out on four-field tables using the Chi-square test. Significance level of the test was p < 0.05. The odds ratio (OR) and its confidence interval (CI) were determined. Results. The average annual growth rate of mortality from digestive diseases in 2010-2019 equalled to -3.5% in men and -1.7% in women; in 2020 it added up to 14.9% and 8.9%, respectively. In 2020, the average age of death from digestive diseases decreased by 3.9 years in men and 3.4 years in women. In the cause of death structure, the share of other specified noninfective gastroenteritis and colitis (K52) (OR = 1.52, CI = 1.07–2.17), liver fibrosis and cirrhosis (OR = 1.35, CI = 1.22–1.50), acute pancreatitis (OR = 1.32, CI = 1.15 - 1.52) has increased. In 2021, in case of death from COVID-19, the frequency of reporting diverticular disease of intestine (OR = 2.35, CI = 1.22 - 4.64) as well as acute pancreatitis in men (OR = 2.87, CI = 1, 04 - 8.53) increased. Conclusion. During the pandemic, the structure of mortality from diseases of the digestive system has changed. A significant decrease in the average age of death from digestive diseases among the Muscovites is mainly determined by the increased mortality in age group of 35-49 years. The obtained results suggest that infection with SARS-CoV-2 virus not only adversely affects the existing digestive diseases, but also triggers the development of new pathological processes: noninfective gastroenteritis and colitis, fibrosis and cirrhosis of liver. It should be also hypothesized that diverticular disease of intestine increases the risk of dying from COVID-19.","PeriodicalId":279998,"journal":{"name":"Social Aspects of Population Health","volume":"64 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"CHANGES IN STRUCTURE OF MORTALITY FROM DIGESTIVE DISEASES DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC IN MOSCOW\",\"authors\":\"T. Sabgayda, A. Edeleva\",\"doi\":\"10.21045/2071-5021-2022-68-4-1\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Significance. Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and the drugs used to treat it affect the course of gastroenterological diseases. Does this change the population mortality structure? Purpose: the purpose of the study was to determine changes in the structure of mortality from diseases of the digestive system against the background of the COVID-19 pandemic. Material and Methods. The study was conducted using the database Registration of the Facts of Death - \\\"The Unified Medical Information and Analytical System of the City of Moscow\\\" on people who died from digestive diseases in 2019 - 2021. Death dynamics among the Muscovites was analysed using Rosstat data for 2010-2020. The share of individual diseases in the structure of death causes, frequency of digestive disease indication in the second part of the medical death certificate in case of death from COVID-19 and average age of death were analysed. Comparison of shares of individual causes in different years was carried out on four-field tables using the Chi-square test. Significance level of the test was p < 0.05. The odds ratio (OR) and its confidence interval (CI) were determined. Results. The average annual growth rate of mortality from digestive diseases in 2010-2019 equalled to -3.5% in men and -1.7% in women; in 2020 it added up to 14.9% and 8.9%, respectively. In 2020, the average age of death from digestive diseases decreased by 3.9 years in men and 3.4 years in women. In the cause of death structure, the share of other specified noninfective gastroenteritis and colitis (K52) (OR = 1.52, CI = 1.07–2.17), liver fibrosis and cirrhosis (OR = 1.35, CI = 1.22–1.50), acute pancreatitis (OR = 1.32, CI = 1.15 - 1.52) has increased. In 2021, in case of death from COVID-19, the frequency of reporting diverticular disease of intestine (OR = 2.35, CI = 1.22 - 4.64) as well as acute pancreatitis in men (OR = 2.87, CI = 1, 04 - 8.53) increased. Conclusion. During the pandemic, the structure of mortality from diseases of the digestive system has changed. A significant decrease in the average age of death from digestive diseases among the Muscovites is mainly determined by the increased mortality in age group of 35-49 years. The obtained results suggest that infection with SARS-CoV-2 virus not only adversely affects the existing digestive diseases, but also triggers the development of new pathological processes: noninfective gastroenteritis and colitis, fibrosis and cirrhosis of liver. It should be also hypothesized that diverticular disease of intestine increases the risk of dying from COVID-19.\",\"PeriodicalId\":279998,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Social Aspects of Population Health\",\"volume\":\"64 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1900-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Social Aspects of Population Health\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.21045/2071-5021-2022-68-4-1\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Social Aspects of Population Health","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21045/2071-5021-2022-68-4-1","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
摘要
的意义。冠状病毒SARS-CoV-2和用于治疗它的药物影响胃肠疾病的病程。这会改变人口死亡率结构吗?目的:本研究的目的是确定在COVID-19大流行背景下消化系统疾病死亡率结构的变化。材料和方法。该研究是利用死亡事实登记数据库-“莫斯科市统一医疗信息和分析系统”对2019年至2021年死于消化系统疾病的人进行的。使用俄罗斯国家统计局2010-2020年的数据分析了莫斯科人的死亡动态。分析个体疾病在死因结构中的占比、新冠肺炎死亡病例医学死亡证明第二部分消化系统疾病指征的频率以及平均死亡年龄。采用卡方检验,在四字段表上比较不同年份个体原因的份额。检验显著性水平p < 0.05。确定比值比(OR)及其置信区间(CI)。结果。2010-2019年,男性消化系统疾病死亡率的平均年增长率为-3.5%,女性为-1.7%;到2020年,这一比例分别达到14.9%和8.9%。2020年,男性因消化系统疾病死亡的平均年龄减少了3.9岁,女性减少了3.4岁。在死亡原因结构中,其他指定非感染性胃肠炎和结肠炎(K52) (OR = 1.52, CI = 1.07-2.17)、肝纤维化和肝硬化(OR = 1.35, CI = 1.22-1.50)、急性胰腺炎(OR = 1.32, CI = 1.15 - 1.52)所占比例有所增加。2021年,在COVID-19死亡病例中,报告肠憩室病(OR = 2.35, CI = 1.22 - 4.64)和男性急性胰腺炎(OR = 2.87, CI = 1.04 - 8.53)的频率增加。结论。在大流行期间,消化系统疾病的死亡率结构发生了变化。莫斯科人因消化系统疾病死亡的平均年龄显著下降,主要是由于35-49岁年龄组的死亡率上升。上述结果提示,感染SARS-CoV-2病毒不仅会对现有的消化系统疾病产生不利影响,还会引发非感染性胃肠炎和结肠炎、肝纤维化和肝硬化等新的病理过程的发生。还应该假设肠憩室病会增加死于COVID-19的风险。
CHANGES IN STRUCTURE OF MORTALITY FROM DIGESTIVE DISEASES DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC IN MOSCOW
Significance. Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and the drugs used to treat it affect the course of gastroenterological diseases. Does this change the population mortality structure? Purpose: the purpose of the study was to determine changes in the structure of mortality from diseases of the digestive system against the background of the COVID-19 pandemic. Material and Methods. The study was conducted using the database Registration of the Facts of Death - "The Unified Medical Information and Analytical System of the City of Moscow" on people who died from digestive diseases in 2019 - 2021. Death dynamics among the Muscovites was analysed using Rosstat data for 2010-2020. The share of individual diseases in the structure of death causes, frequency of digestive disease indication in the second part of the medical death certificate in case of death from COVID-19 and average age of death were analysed. Comparison of shares of individual causes in different years was carried out on four-field tables using the Chi-square test. Significance level of the test was p < 0.05. The odds ratio (OR) and its confidence interval (CI) were determined. Results. The average annual growth rate of mortality from digestive diseases in 2010-2019 equalled to -3.5% in men and -1.7% in women; in 2020 it added up to 14.9% and 8.9%, respectively. In 2020, the average age of death from digestive diseases decreased by 3.9 years in men and 3.4 years in women. In the cause of death structure, the share of other specified noninfective gastroenteritis and colitis (K52) (OR = 1.52, CI = 1.07–2.17), liver fibrosis and cirrhosis (OR = 1.35, CI = 1.22–1.50), acute pancreatitis (OR = 1.32, CI = 1.15 - 1.52) has increased. In 2021, in case of death from COVID-19, the frequency of reporting diverticular disease of intestine (OR = 2.35, CI = 1.22 - 4.64) as well as acute pancreatitis in men (OR = 2.87, CI = 1, 04 - 8.53) increased. Conclusion. During the pandemic, the structure of mortality from diseases of the digestive system has changed. A significant decrease in the average age of death from digestive diseases among the Muscovites is mainly determined by the increased mortality in age group of 35-49 years. The obtained results suggest that infection with SARS-CoV-2 virus not only adversely affects the existing digestive diseases, but also triggers the development of new pathological processes: noninfective gastroenteritis and colitis, fibrosis and cirrhosis of liver. It should be also hypothesized that diverticular disease of intestine increases the risk of dying from COVID-19.