印度尼西亚证券交易所的反文化战略盈利能力

B. Burhanudin, I. G. Mandra, Laila Wardani
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摘要

有效市场假说意味着任何投资者都不可能获得异常回报。这一假设已经成为许多研究者提及的研究课题。然而,在发现几个与有效市场假说不一致的反常现象后,这一假说被强烈驳斥。其中之一是De Bondt and Thaler(1985)发现,股票价格具有一定的趋势,即在一个时期表现良好的股票将成为下一个时期表现不佳的股票。亦然。这种现象被称为反应过度或反应过度。这些发现促使进一步的研究人员应用反向策略,以便在出现过度反应时获得优势。本研究是一项旨在获得反向策略获得异常收益能力证据的研究。本研究旨在分析印尼证券交易所股票过度反应的发生,并分析投资者实施逆向策略的优势。这项研究是在印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的公司进行的。入选的公司是2019年交易最活跃的100家公司。从数据分析的结果可以得出结论,在印尼证券交易所上市的股票出现了价格反转。这个结果是相当强的,因为它已经测试了长达4周。尽管出现了价格逆转,但反向策略未能为投资者带来可观的回报。关键词:逆向策略,异常收益,过度反应
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PROFITABILITAS STRATEGI KONTRATRIAN DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA
The efficient market hypothesis implies that no investor can get an abnormal return. This hypothesis has become a research topic that many researchers refer to. However, this hypothesis is strongly refuted after the discovery of several anomalies that are inconsistent with the efficient market hypothesis. One of them was found by De Bondt and Thaler (1985), that stock prices have a certain tendency, namely that stocks that perform well in one period will become stocks that perform poorly in the next period. Vice versa. This phenomenon is called overreaction or overreaction. These findings motivated further researchers to apply contrarian strategies to gain an advantage when there was an overreaction. This research is a study that is intended to obtain evidence of the ability of contrarian strategies in obtaining abnormal returns. This study aims to analyze the occurrence of overreaction on stocks on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and to analyze the advantages of implementing a contrarian strategy for investors. This research was conducted at companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The companies selected were 100 companies with the most active transactions during 2019. From the results of data analysis, it can be concluded that there was a price reversal for the shares listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. This result is quite strong because it has been tested for up to 4 weeks. Despite the price reversal, the contrarian strategy was not able to generate significant returns for investors.Keywords :contrarian strategy, abnormal return, overreaction  
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