全球宏观金融模型

F. Vitek
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文论述了最新版全球宏观金融模型(GFM)的理论结构和实证性质。这个世界经济的动态随机一般均衡模型分为40个国家经济体,旨在支持多边一致的宏观金融政策、风险和溢出分析。它的特点是一系列名义和实际刚性、广泛的宏观金融联系和多样化的溢出传导渠道。这些宏观金融联系包括以银行和资本市场为基础的金融中介,以及与住房和实物资本存量价值挂钩的金融加速机制。本文展示了GFM的各种货币政策分析、财政政策分析、宏观审慎政策分析、溢出分析和预测应用。这些措施包括量化货币、财政和宏观审慎政策的传导机制,核算商业周期波动,以及对通货膨胀和产出增长作出相对准确的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Global Macrofinancial Model
This paper documents the theoretical structure and empirical properties of the latest version of the Global Macrofinancial Model (GFM). This dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies, was developed to support multilaterally consistent macrofinancial policy, risk and spillover analysis. It features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. These macrofinancial linkages encompass bank and capital market based financial intermediation, with financial accelerator mechanisms linked to the values of the housing and physical capital stocks. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, macroprudential policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the GFM are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary, fiscal and macroprudential policy transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.
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