会计信息发布和CDS价差

Redouane Elkamhi, Kris Jacobs, Hugues Langlois, Chayawat Ornthanalai
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引用次数: 18

摘要

我们表明,会计信息的发布会产生巨大而直接的价格影响,即信用违约掉期(CDS)价差的跃升。我们的方法是多元的,它允许在混杂新闻存在的情况下识别信息事件,如信贷事件和其他同时到来的新闻。会计新闻发布对经济的影响是信贷相关新闻的两倍。好消息和坏消息对CDS价差的影响是不对称的,而计划外的公告比计划内的公告更有可能引起跳升。会计信息的到来很快被CDS价差吸收,表明CDS市场的价格发现是有效的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Accounting Information Releases and CDS Spreads
We show that accounting information releases generate large and immediate price impacts, i.e. jumps, in credit default swap (CDS) spreads. Our approach is multivariate, which allows for identification of information events under the presence of confounding news, such as credit events and other simultaneous news arrivals. The economic impact of accounting news releases is twice as large as the impact of credit-related news. Good and bad news impact jumps in CDS spreads asymmetrically, and unscheduled announcements are more likely to cause jumps than scheduled ones. The arrival of accounting information is quickly absorbed in CDS spreads, suggesting efficient price discovery in the CDS market.
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