用逻辑回归方程用牙学特征测定人的性别

Anar Sh. Ibragimov, Shakir M. Musayev
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摘要

背景:鉴于这一问题尚未完全解决,发展根据遗骨鉴定人的方法是一项优先事项,这种方法适用于诊断阿塞拜疆人口。在这种情况下,一种通过牙齿快速确定性别的新方法似乎很有需求,因为它应该提高法医的工作效率。目的:发展一种利用牙镜体征诊断人的性别的现代技术。材料和方法:在阿塞拜疆人的颅骨标本中研究牙齿大小。在上颌的七颗牙齿和下颌的七颗牙齿上,测量了三个参数(而对称牙齿被认为是一个单一的阵列)。每14颗解剖牙分别由80颗男牙和80颗女牙代表。数字卡尺(万通);精度10微米)用于牙镜检查。采用受试者工作特征曲线分析法对测牙结果进行统计分析。采用MATLAB统计软件包进行数学建模。结果:采用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)分析,对测牙过程中获得的数据进行分析。六种牙光体征与性别有关。与性别最相关的参数是上犬齿颊舌直径、下第二磨牙冠高度、下门牙、下犬牙和上中门牙。利用数学模型,实现了六个逻辑回归方程,这些方程有助于通过牙齿的大小来确定个体的性别。用ROC分析评估方程的预测潜力。结论:基于牙镜指标和ROC分析,得到了通过牙齿大小判断人的性别的诊断方程。这些方程尚未在独立样本上得到验证;因此,还不能无条件地推荐实行。然而,作者依靠他们的模型的高度合法性,因为他们使用了相当强大的数学工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determination of human sex by odontometric characteristics using equations of logistic regression
BACKGROUND: The development of methods for identifying a person based on bone remains, which are adapted for diagnosing the population of Azerbaijan, is a priority in view of the incompleteness of solving this problem. In this situation, a new way to quickly determine the sex by teeth appears to be in demand because it should increase the efficiency of the work of forensic doctors. AIM: To develop a modern technique for diagnosing a persons sex using odontometric signs. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Teeth sizes were studied at the craniological collection of Azerbaijanis. On the seven teeth of the upper and seven teeth of the lower jaw, three parameters were measured (while symmetrical teeth were considered a single array). Each of the 14 anatomical teeth was represented by 80 male and 80 female teeth. A digital caliper (Mutitouyo; accuracy 10 microns) was used for odontometric procedures. Odontometry results were analyzed by statistical methods using receiver operating characteristics curve analysis. Mathematical modeling was conducted using the MATLAB statistical software package. RESULTS: With the help of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis, the data obtained in the course of odontometry were studied. Six odontometric signs were related to sex. The most sex-related parameters were the buccolingual diameter of the upper canine, heights of the crowns of the second lower molar, lower incisors, lower canine, and upper central incisor. Using mathematical modeling, six logistic regression equations have been implemented, which help determining the sex of an individual by the size of his teeth possible. The predictive potential of the equations was also assessed using the ROC analysis. CONCLUSION: Based on odontometric indicators and ROC analysis, diagnostic equations for determining the sex of a person by the teeth size were obtained. The equations have not yet been verified on independent samples; therefore, they cannot yet be unconditionally recommended for practice. Nevertheless, the authors count on the high legitimacy of their models because they used a fairly powerful mathematical apparatus.
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