媒体宣传对控制伤寒的潜在影响建模

T. Ojurongbe, Akintunde L. Ayuba, H. A. Afolabi, K. Bashiru
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:伤寒是由伤寒沙门氏菌引起的,在许多发展中国家仍然是一个严重的问题。它是通过吃或喝被感染者粪便污染的食物或水传播的。危险因素包括环境卫生条件差和个人卫生条件差。本研究提出了一个带有媒体宣传成分的数学模型,以评估媒体宣传对伤寒意识的可能影响。我们提出了一个基于伤寒疾病传播动力学的模型,强调疾病意识项目的累积密度。t时刻的总体用N(t)表示;再细分为易感S(t)、感染I类(t)、易感媒介Sm(t)、恢复和累计意识密度计划M(t),因此,N(t) = S(t) + I(t) + Sm(t) + R(t) + M(t)。该研究强调,当媒体知识在普通人群中传播时,易受感染的部分与受感染的部分隔离开来。找到了模型系统的平衡点,并进行了稳定性分析和灵敏度分析。数值模拟使用特定参数来研究它们对媒体意识的影响。结果:经时间检验R0 < 1,发现伤寒可被消灭。还观察到该模型具有无病平衡。结果表明,摄食速度是引发伤寒的主要机制。结论:模拟结果表明,如果个人能采取预防措施,则不需要进行治疗。已经确定,媒体宣传在保护个人免受伤寒方面取得了更好的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling the Potential Effect of Media Campaigns in Controlling Typhoid Fever
Background: Typhoid fever, caused by Salmonella typhi, is still a serious problem in many developing countries. It is spread by eating or drinking food or water contaminated with the faeces of an infected person. Risk factors include poor sanitation and poor hygiene. This study presented a mathematical model with a media campaign component to evaluate the possible impact of media campaigns on typhoid fever awareness. Methods: Sixty-four We proposed a model based on the transmission dynamics of Typhoid disease, emphasizing the cumulative density of awareness programs for the disease. The total population at time t is denoted by N(t); which is subdivided into Susceptible S(t), Infected Class I(t), Susceptible Media Sm (t), Recovered, and Cumulative density of awareness program M(t), thus, N(t) = S(t) + I(t) + Sm(t) + R(t) + M(t). The study stresses that when media knowledge spreads among the general population, a section susceptible to infection becomes isolated from the infected ones. The equilibrium points of the model system were found, and stability analysis and sensitivity analysis were carried out. Numerical simulations used specific parameters to study their effects on media awareness. Results: It was discovered that typhoid fever could be eliminated with a test of time as R0 < 1. It was also observed that the model had a disease-free equilibrium. The results suggested that the ingestion rate is the primary mechanism that fuels typhoid fever. Conclusion: The simulations indicated that if individuals can take preventive measures against typhoid, there would not be any need for treatment. It was established that media campaigns yielded better outcomes in protecting individuals against typhoid..
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