个别公司的政治不确定性风险:以英国退欧公投为例

P. Hill, Adriana Korczak, Piotr Korczak
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引用次数: 69

摘要

摘要本文研究了英国企业对英国脱欧风险敞口的横截面决定因素,这一事件导致了政治不确定性的空前上升。我们发现,国际化对英国脱欧风险的调节作用超越了纯粹的货币换算效应,与国际活动作为国内风险分散机制的作用是一致的。我们还提供了一些指示性证据,表明高增长公司受英国脱欧的影响更大。在行业层面,我们发现金融和面向消费者行业的公司受到英国脱欧相关不确定性的影响最大。了解与重大政治事件有关的政治不确定性对个别公司和部门的影响变化,可以帮助管理人员、投资者和决策者采取补救行动,限制其影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Political Uncertainty Exposure of Individual Companies: The Case of the Brexit Referendum
Abstract This paper studies cross-sectional determinants of the exposure of U.K. firms to Brexit, an event which resulted in an unprecedented rise in political uncertainty. We find that internationalization has a moderating effect on Brexit exposure which goes beyond the pure currency translation effect and is consistent with international activities acting as a diversification mechanism for domestic risks. We also provide some indicative evidence that high-growth firms are more affected by Brexit. At the industry level, we show that Financials and firms in the consumer-facing sectors have the highest exposure to Brexit-related uncertainty. Knowledge of the variation in exposure of individual firms and sectors to political uncertainty associated with major political events can assist managers, investors and policymakers in taking remedial actions to limit its impact.
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