人民币国际化对中国对外直接投资的影响机制分析——基于“一带一路”国家面板数据模型

Danying Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究从“一带一路”沿线国家入手,收集了2011年至2019年“一带一路”沿线46个经济体的宏观年度数据。本文运用面板数据模型,实证研究了人民币国际化对中国对外直接投资的影响机制。结果表明,人民币国际化水平对中国对“一带一路”沿线国家对外直接投资存量具有正向影响。中国与东道国的进出口贸易对对外直接投资的增长贡献显著。东道国的经济发展水平对中国企业的OFDI有显著的正向影响,而中国与东道国的经济距离和东道国的汇率波动对OFDI有负向影响。因此,本文提出以下建议:中国应继续推进和深化“一带一路”建设,推进人民币国际化,鼓励企业直接投资“一带一路”沿线新兴市场。以“一带一路”为试点,中国将向世界辐射,提升中国的经济实力和货币的国际话语权。充分发挥亚洲基础设施投资银行和丝路基金作用,完善金融基础设施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis on the Influence Mechanism of RMB Internationalization on China’s OFDI : Based on the “The Belt and Road Country Panel Data” Model
Starting with The B&R countries, this study gathers the macro annual data of 46 economies along the Belt and Road between 2011 and 2019. Using panel data model, this paper empirically studies the influence mechanism of RMB internationalization on China’s OFDI. The results show that the level of RMB internationalization has a positive effect on the stock of China’s OFDI to "The Belt and Road" countries. China’s import and export trade with host countries significantly contributed to the growth of OFDI. The economic development level of the host country has a significant positive effect on OFDI of Chinese enterprises, while the economic distance between China and the host country and the exchange rate fluctuation of the host country have a negative effect on OFDI. Therefore, this paper puts forward the following suggestions: China should continue to promote and deepen the "The Belt and Road" construction, promote the internationalization of RMB and encourage enterprises to invest directly in the emerging markets along the "The Belt and Road". With the "The Belt and Road" as the pilot project, China will radiate to the outside world to enhance China’s economic strength and the international discourse power of its currency. The role of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and the Silk Road Fund should be brought into full play, and financial infrastructure should be improved.
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