2008年经济危机与转型期国家的额外工人效应

T. Khitarishvili
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引用次数: 17

摘要

2008年金融危机之后,转型国家的女性劳动力参与率上升,男性劳动力参与率下降,部分原因是男性主导的部门受到的冲击最大。这些进展促使许多人认为,女性没有受到危机的全面影响。在本文中,我们通过调查女性劳动力参与率的增加在多大程度上反映了对危机的痛苦劳动力供应反应,批判性地评估了这一说法。我们使用了2010年《转型生活调查》评估的28个转型地区国家的数据。我们发现,在45岁至54岁的已婚女性家中没有孩子的情况下,女性增加了劳动力效应。这种影响在该地区的中等收入国家中最为强烈。在男性中,劳动力参与与家庭特定收入冲击之间存在负相关关系。不同于对家庭特定收入冲击的反应差异,劳动力供给对较弱的宏观经济环境的反应对男性和女性都是负面的,这暗示了“气馁的工人”效应的存在,这种效应跨越了性别界限。我们得出的结论是,在这次危机中观察到的男性劳动力参与率的下降可能是最初的部门收缩和随后的气馁工人效应影响的综合结果。另一方面,对女性来说,增加的劳动力效应似乎超过了减少的劳动力效应,这有助于提高她们的劳动力参与率。我们的研究结果强调了家庭特定冲击影响女性和男性劳动力参与率的方式存在异质性,而不是整个经济状况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Economic Crisis of 2008 and the Added Worker Effect in Transition Countries
Following the financial crisis of 2008, transition countries experienced an increase in female labor force participation rates and a decrease in male labor force participation rates, in part because male-dominated sectors were hit the hardest. These developments have prompted many to argue that women have been spared the full-blown effects of the crisis. In this paper, we critically evaluate this claim by investigating the extent to which the increase in the female labor force participation rate may have reflected a distress labor supply response to the crisis. We use the data on the 28 countries of the transition region assessed in the 2010 Life in Transition Survey. We find the presence of the female added worker effect, driven by married 45- to 54-year-old women with no children in the household. This effect is the strongest among the region's middle-income countries. Among men, a negative relationship between labor force participation and household-specific income shocks is indicated. Unlike the differences in the response to household-specific income shocks, the labor supply response to a weaker macroeconomic environment is negative for both men and women—hinting at the presence of the "discouraged worker" effect, which cuts across gender lines. We conclude that the decrease in men's labor force participation observed during this crisis is likely a combined result of the initial sectoral contraction and the subsequent impact of the discouraged worker effect. For women, on the other hand, the added worker effect appears to outweigh the discouraged worker effect, contributing to an increase in their labor force participation rate. Our findings highlight the presence of heterogeneity in the way in which household-specific shocks, as opposed to economy-wide conditions, affect both female and male labor force participation rates.
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