石油和天然气财富会吞噬总财富吗?用可持续财富测度分析资源诅咒

Wilhelm Althammer, Martin Schneider
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引用次数: 1

摘要

关于自然资源禀赋是祸还是福的实证研究结果是模棱两可的。大多数研究发现,资源丰富的国家比资源匮乏的国家增长得慢(“资源诅咒”)。在最近的研究中,这种对经济表现的负面影响受到了质疑;资源的影响似乎取决于如何衡量资源财富。虽然这些研究大多使用流动变量GDP的增长作为因变量,但我们建议使用实际总财富的增长作为存量变量。这就考虑到了可持续发展的思想。在横断面分析中使用这一措施,我们发现了石油和天然气丰富国家存在资源诅咒的有力证据。1995年,石油和天然气财富占人均财富总额的比例越高,十年后人均财富总额的增长就越糟糕。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does Oil and Gas Wealth Eat Up Total Wealth? Analyzing the Resource Curse with Measures of Sustainable Wealth
The findings of empirical studies on the question whether endowments with natural resources are a curse or a blessing are ambiguous. The majority of studies found that resource rich countries grow slower than their resource scarce counterparts (“resource curse”). In recent studies, this negative effect on economic performance has been questioned; the effect of resources seems to depend on how resource wealth is measured. While most of these studies use the growth of GDP, a flow variable, as the dependent variable, we propose to use the growth of real total wealth, a stock variable. By this, the idea of sustainable development is taken into account. Using this measure in a cross-sectional analysis, we find strong evidence of a resource curse for oil and gas rich countries. The higher the share of oil and gas wealth in total wealth per capita in 1995, the worse the growth in total wealth per capita a decade later.
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