Rinaldi Daswito, Lutfan Lazuardi, Hera Nirwati
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引用次数: 3

摘要

登革出血热(DHF)是印度尼西亚的主要公共卫生问题,甚至在所有省份都有流行。在日惹市,登革出血热的发病率每年仍有波动。本研究旨在确定天气变量(气温、降雨量、湿度和风速)与日惹市5年(2010-2014)DHF发病率之间的关系模式。本研究采用时空方法的生态学研究设计。人口是2010-2014年日惹市行政区域登革热的发病率。Spearman-rho相关检验表明,DHF发病率的关系模式更显著(p <0.05),且与前几个月天气变量的增加有较强的相关系数。前2个月的降雨量(r = 0.5617)、前3个月的气温(r = 0.4399)和前1个月的湿度(r = 0.6097)与DHF发病率的增加呈正相关关系。风速与同月DHF发病率呈负相关(r = -0.3743)。基于图/时间趋势分析和气象变量空间分析,日惹市DHF发病与气象变量空间分析有一定的关系。建议日惹市卫生局每年在规划登革出血热预防规划和确定大规模灭蚊活动的时间时使用BMKG的天气数据。关键词:登革热;媒介传播疾病;气候
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ANALISIS HUBUNGAN VARIABEL CUACA DENGAN KEJADIAN DBD DI KOTA YOGYAKARTA
Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is the main public health issues in Indonesia, even endemic in all provinces. The incidence of DHF is still fluctuated annually in the city of Yogyakarta. This study aims to determine the pattern of the relationship between weather variables (air temperature, rainfall, humidity, and wind speed) on the incidence of DHF in the city of Yogyakarta for 5 years (2010-2014). This study used the ecological study design with spatial-temporal approach. Population was the incidence of dengue for the period 2010-2014 in the administrative area of Yogyakarta city. Spearman-rho correlation test showed that the pattern of the relationship of DHF incidence was more significant (p <0.05) and had a stronger correlation coefficient with an increase in weather variables in the previous few months. Rainfall in the previous two months (r = 0.5617), air temperature three months earlier (r = 0.4399), and humidity in the previous month (r = 0.6097) had a positive relationship pattern with an increase in the incidence of DHF. Wind speed is negatively related to the incidence of DHF in the same month (r = -0.3743). Based on graph/ time-trend analysis and spatial analysis of weather variables had a relationship with the incidence of DHF in the city of Yogyakarta. The Yogyakarta City Health Office is advised to use weather data from BMKG every year in planning DHF prevention programs and determine the timing of mass mosquito eradication (PSN) activities. Keywords: Dengue, vector-borne disease, climate, temporal
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