利用审计规模和审计意见进行破产预测

Chrysovalantis Gaganis, Pavlos Sochos, C. Zopounidis
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在本研究中,我们研究了审计师意见和审计师规模等信息在预测希腊市场上经营的公司即将破产方面的解释力。使用9个财务比率和两个虚拟变量,涵盖公司财务绩效的所有维度,我们初步开发了两种基于分类技术的模型,人工神经网络(ANN)和判别分析(DA)。我们的主要目的是找出在初始模型中整合审计意见和审计师规模变量是否增加了他们预测即将发生的破产的能力。比较了两种模型在加入附加信息变量前后的预测精度。结果表明,与仅使用财务比率相比,在分析中纳入审计意见和审计师的变量时,两种模型在区分破产和非破产公司方面都取得了更令人满意的分类准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bankruptcy prediction using auditor size and auditor opinion
In the present study, we investigate the explanatory power of information such as auditors' opinion and auditors' size in predicting impending bankruptcy for companies operating in the Greek market. Using nine financial ratios and two dummy variables, covering all dimensions of firms' financial performance, we initially develop two classification technique based models, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Discriminant Analysis (DA). Our main purpose is to find out if the integration of the variables of audit opinion and auditor size in the initial models increases their ability in predicting impending bankruptcy. A comparison of the prediction accuracy of these two models before and after the integration of the additional informational variables is also included. The results indicate that both models achieve more satisfactory classification accuracy in discriminating bankrupted and non-bankrupted firms when the variables of audit opinion, auditors' are incorporated in the analysis compared to the use of financial ratios, only.
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