Agata Włodkowska
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管苏联解体已经过去了30年,但后苏联地区的竞争仍在继续。中欧和东欧也在发生这种情况。2014年俄罗斯吞并克里米亚,8年后俄罗斯联邦又公开入侵乌克兰,这表明两国之间的竞争加剧了。本文的目的是确定这种竞争中连续性和变化的因素,并回答有关该地区国家与非国家行为体之间竞争的原因和前景的问题。同样重要的问题是,超级大国在中欧和东欧的介入是否仍应被视为一种竞争,还是一种冲突。除其他外,可以从同样的行动者的参与、参与的原因以及相互冲突的利益的持续甚至加强中找到连续性的因素。此外,使用的一些手段和方法保持不变。变化的因素包括西方前所未有的团结和欧盟在军事领域活动的增加,俄罗斯使用其某些手段和方法的能力下降,以及它直到最近才拥有的一些优势的丧失。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Europa Środkowo-Wschodnia jako obszar rywalizacji i wpływu. Ciągłość i zmiana w perspektywie 30 lat
Despite the three decades that have passed since the collapse of the USSR, the rivalry in the post-Soviet area continues. It is also going on in Central and Eastern Europe. Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, followed by the Russian Federation’s open invasion of Ukraine eight years later, indicates that the intensity of the rivalry has intensified. The purpose of the article is to identify elements of continuity and change in this rivalry and to answer questions about the causes and prospects of the competition between states and non-state actors in the area. No less important is the question of whether the involvement of the superpowers in Central and Eastern Europe should still be considered a rivalry or rather a conflict. Elements of continuity can be found, among other things, in the involvement of the same actors, the reasons for involvement, and the persistence or even strengthening of conflicting interests. Also, some of the means and methods used remain the same. Among the elements of change are the unprecedented unity of the West and the increase in EU activity in the military sphere, the reduction of Russia’s ability to use some of its means and methods, and the loss of some of the advantages it had until recently.
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