社交媒体和公司股权价值

Xueming Luo, J. Zhang, Wenjing Duan
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引用次数: 577

摘要

越来越多的公司提倡使用社交媒体技术来改变业务,提高组织绩效。本研究仔细研究了社交媒体与公司股权价值之间的预测关系,社交媒体指标与传统在线行为指标的相对影响,以及这些关系的动态。向量自回归模型得出的结果表明,基于社交媒体的指标、网络博客和消费者评级是公司股权价值的重要领先指标。有趣的是,传统的在线行为指标谷歌搜索和网络流量与公司股权价值的预测关系显著但明显弱于社交媒体指标。我们还发现,与传统的网络媒体相比,社交媒体具有更快的预测价值,即更短的“磨损”时间。这些发现对于一组一致的基于容量的度量是可靠的,这些度量包括博客帖子总数、评级量、总页面浏览量和搜索强度。总的来说,这项研究为高级管理人员提供了关于公司股权估值和社交媒体变革力量的新见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Social Media and Firm Equity Value
Companies have increasingly advocated social media technologies to transform businesses and improve organizational performance. This study scrutinizes the predictive relationships between social media and firm equity value, the relative effects of social media metrics compared with conventional online behavioral metrics, and the dynamics of these relationships. The results derived from vector autoregressive models suggest that social media-based metrics Web blogs and consumer ratings are significant leading indicators of firm equity value. Interestingly, conventional online behavioral metrics Google searches and Web traffic are found to have a significant yet substantially weaker predictive relationship with firm equity value than social media metrics. We also find that social media has a faster predictive value, i.e., shorter “wear-in” time, than conventional online media. These findings are robust to a consistent set of volume-based measures total blog posts, rating volume, total page views, and search intensity. Collectively, this study proffers new insights for senior executives with respect to firm equity valuations and the transformative power of social media.
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