乌克兰农业综合体对外贸易对粮食资源安全的影响

N. Ostrovska, A. Chub
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文论证了涉农工业企业在保障国家粮食安全方面发挥着关键作用,因此对外贸易对涉农工业企业状况影响的现实意义也转向了社会责任层面,强调了有效调控政策的重要性。本文论证了在评价农工综合体对外贸易对粮食安全的影响时,需要将现有指标结合在一个广义指标中。这一办法将使我们能够对乌克兰农工综合体的效率作出连贯的评估,以满足国内消费和最终需求的需要。需要指出的是,在证实泛化指标的依赖形式时,应从其经济内容出发:如果自己的产量完全满足国内使用,但消费资金不能满足人口的生理需求,则说明粮食安全未实现;如果消费资金完全满足年平均人口的生理需求,但产量低无法提供国内使用,则表明农业进口依赖程度高,粮食安全程度低。在研究结果的基础上,提出了粮食资源经济供给的因子模型。这一指标所依据的需要,首先是通过本国生产来满足国内需求,其次是在建议的数量范围内向人民提供基本的粮食种类。在构建这一模型时,特别注意了对外经济活动以及进出口对这些指标的影响。这项工作的科学新颖之处在于构建了一个因素模型,用于确定乌克兰农工综合体的对外贸易对国内消费和最终需求的粮食资源的影响,该模型基于消费的统计平衡,这与现有的定量评估和证明外贸情景形成了对比。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE INFLUENCE OF FOREIGN TRADE IN THE AGRICULTURAL COMPLEX OF UKRAINE ON THE SECURITY OF FOOD RESOURCES
The article proves that agro-industrial enterprises play a key role in ensuring food security of the state, so the practical significance of the impact of foreign trade on its condition also shifts to the plane of social responsibility and emphasizes the importance of effective regulatory policy. The paper proves the need to combine the existing indicators for assessing the im-pact of foreign trade in the agro-industrial complex on food security in a generalized indicator. This approach will allow to give a coherent assessment of the efficiency of the agro-industrial complex of Ukraine, to meet the needs of domestic con-sumption and final demand. It is noted that when substantiating the form of dependence of the generalizing indicator, one should proceed from its economic content: if the volume of own production satisfies domestic use in full, but the consumption fund does not meet the physiological needs of the population, it indicates non-fulfillment of food security ; if the consumption fund fully meets the physiological needs of the average annual population, but low production is not able to provide domesticuse, it indicates a high level of import dependence in agriculture and low food security. I based on the results of the study, a factor model was proposed to assess the supply of food resources to the economy. This indicator was based on the need, first-ly, to meet domestic demand through its own production, and secondly - to provide the population with basic food groups within the recommended volumes. Particular attention in the construction of this model was paid to foreign economic activityand the impact of exports and imports on these indicators. The scientific novelty of this work is the construction of a factor model for determining the impact of foreign trade in the agro-industrial complex of Ukraine on food resources of both domes-tic consumption and final demand based on statistical balances of consumption, which in contrast to existing quantitative assessment and justify scenarios in foreign trade.
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