加入欧盟后罗马尼亚出口与经济增长的关系

Ramona Dumitriu, R. Stefanescu
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摘要

本文探讨了罗马尼亚出口季度价值与2007 - 2014年期间国内生产总值之间的关系,这是由加入欧盟和全球危机的后果所标志的。在这个分析中,我们采用协整检验,向量自回归(VAR)和格兰杰因果关系技术。结果表明,这两个变量之间没有协整关系,但出口对国内生产总值有因果关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Relationship between Romanian Exports and Economic Growth after the Adhesion to European Union
This paper explores the relationship between the quarterly values of the Romanian exports and of the Gross Domestic Product for the period 2007 – 2014, which was marked by the consequences of the adhesion to European Union and by the global crisis. In this analysis we employ cointegration tests, Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Granger causality techniques. The results indicate no cointegration between the two variables but a causal effect of exports on the Gross Domestic Product.
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