使用低维多相流模型的自动化海底架构优化

Zurwa Khan, A. Meziou, R. Tafreshi, M. Franchek, K. Grigoriadis
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摘要

由于全球能源需求的增加,对经济石油和天然气生产的需求比以往任何时候都要高。因此,有必要确保海底建筑设计以经济和安全为导向。尽管在海底系统的安装和运行阶段会遇到许多挑战,但通过确保经济可靠的设计,大多数挑战都可以避免。为了实现安全、经济的设计和操作方案,预测石油管道中遇到的多相流体在各种条件下的水力和热行为至关重要。这不能由经验模型来完成,它依赖于有限的可用数据。因此,力学低维模型已被用于两相气液稳态流动。然而,机械低维模型假设绝热条件,这在遇到寒冷环境的海底建筑中很少出现。因此,为了预测热梯度环境下多相流的温度特性,本文建立了一个热模型,并用实验数据进行了验证。该模型对验证数据的预测准确率为80%,误差小于30%。将开发的两相气液热模型与Beggs和Brill水力多相流模型合并,预测两相气液流动的整体行为,并用于开发基于模型的最优多井水下架构设计。以四口井海底系统为例,演示了自动化海底结构优化技术。通过这个案例研究,表明与传统设计方法相比,管道采购可以节省大约23%的成本。根据行业标准、安全系数和多相流模型,设计了水下多井系统的跳管并放置了歧管。合并水力和热多相流模型显示了温度对流动的影响,从而优化了海底绝缘设计,可以防止蜡沉积等问题。然后在Simscape®环境中实施优化后的海底结构,以获得瞬态响应。随着优化的海底结构自动化设计,开发的热模型有可能用于实时预测两相流量、压降和空隙率,作为虚拟传感器,为昂贵且不切实际的硬件传感器提供经济的替代方案。此外,所建立的模型还可用于设计有效的控制策略,以调节跳线内的多相流和防止歧管处的回流。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Automated Subsea Architecture Optimization Using Low-Dimensional Multiphase Flow Models
Due to the global increase in energy demand, the need for economic oil and gas production is rising more than ever. Therefore, it is necessary to ensure that subsea architecture designs are economical and safety oriented. While numerous challenges are encountered during subsea system’s installation and operation phases, most of these challenges can be avoided by ensuring an economical and reliable design. For a safe and cost-effective design and operating scenario, it is essential to predict the hydraulic and thermal behavior of multiphase fluid encountered in petroleum pipelines for a range of conditions. This cannot be accomplished by empirical models, which are dependent on limited data available. Consequently, mechanistic low-dimensional models have been used for two-phase gas-liquid steady-state flow. However, mechanistic low-dimensional models assume adiabatic conditions, which is rarely the case in subsea architectures, which encounter cold surroundings. Therefore, to predict the temperature-based characteristics of multiphase flow in environments with thermal gradients, a thermal model has been developed and validated with experimental data. 80% of the validation data was predicted by this developed thermal model with error difference of less than 30%. The developed two-phase gasliquid thermal model was merged with Beggs and Brill hydraulic multiphase flow model to predict the overall behavior of two-phase gas-liquid flow, and used to develop an optimal model-based multi-well subsea architecture design. A case study of a four-well subsea system was used to demonstrate the automated subsea architecture optimization technique. Through this case study, it was shown that approximately 23% of savings in pipelines procurement could be made relative to the conventional designing approach. Industry standards, safety factors, and multiphase flow models were used to design jumpers and place the manifold for a subsea multi-well system. Merging hydraulic and thermal multiphase flow models showed the effect of temperature on the flow, which led to an optimized design for the subsea insulation in which issues such as wax deposition can be prevented. The resulting optimized subsea architecture was then implemented in Simscape® environment to obtain the transient response. Along with optimized subsea architecture automated design, the developed thermal model has the potential to be used for real-time prediction of two-phase flow rate, pressure drop and void fraction as virtual sensors to provide economical alternative to expensive and impractical hardware sensors. Furthermore, the developed model can also be used to design effective control strategies for multiphase flow regulation in jumpers and prevention of backflow at the manifold.
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