用结构方程模型理解印尼的电动汽车接受度:一个概念模型

B. Yusuf, A. Moeis, Andri D. Setiawan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为减少温室气体(GHG)排放,作为印尼在2015年《巴黎协定》中的承诺,印尼政府正在加强绿色和可持续能源的使用,以取代化石能源。政府的一项实际承诺写在政府规管编号。关于电池电动汽车(ev)加速计划的第55/2019号决议,该计划被认为对大气排放低。本研究运用扩展版的计划行为理论来分析个人信仰对个人电动汽车采用意愿的影响,并运用结构方程模型(SEM)方法来量化印尼电动汽车的接受程度。本研究的局限性在于:(1)研究分析了印尼对插电式混合动力(PHEV)和全电池(BEV)电动汽车的接受程度;b)研究是在Covid-19大流行的情况下进行的,这可能会影响受访者的心理。从2020年12月到2021年2月,对印度尼西亚人进行了在线问卷调查。本次调查共收到154份有效问卷。基于实证结果,我们发现环境关注(ENC)对电动汽车购买的采用意愿(AdIn)有显著的正向影响,而感知行为控制(PBC)对电动汽车购买的采用意愿(AdIn)有显著的正向影响。作为中介。在印度尼西亚,PBC因素对AdIn因素的影响较大(通径系数=0.739)。这一结果表明,电动汽车在印尼的普及可以通过优先考虑PBC因素来实现,例如性能属性/易用性(电池寿命、充电时间、维护、充电基础设施可用性等)和实用性(不受单双号规则、使用公交车道的特权和其他非货币激励)。其他变量如态度(ATT)、主观规范(SUN)和个人道德规范(PMN)对电动汽车采用意愿(AdIn)没有显著影响。由于本研究存在局限性,因此我们建议未来的研究可以在正常情况下(从流行病中恢复过来)进行,并将研究扩展到电动两轮车市场。此外,未来的研究应考虑增加有驾驶或乘坐电动汽车的受访者比例,以便研究得到更准确的数据分析。该研究有望帮助政府制定干预政策,引导汽车行业进行更准确的市场规划投资。该研究还有望在未来支持其他模拟研究(如预测)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Understanding Electric Vehicle Acceptance in Indonesia using Structural Equation Modeling: A Conceptual Model
∗To reduce Green House Gas (GHG) emission as a commitment of Indonesia in the Paris Agreement 2015, Indonesia government is enhancing using of green and sustainable energy replacing fossil energy resources. One of government's actual commitments is written in Government Regulatory no. 55/2019 regarding the acceleration programs of battery-based Electric Vehicles (EVs) which is believed to emit low emissions to the atmosphere. This study promotes an extended version of the Theory of Planned Behavior to analyze the impacts of personal beliefs on individual adoption intention towards EVs and structural equation modeling (SEM) method to quantify its acceptance level in Indonesia. The limitations of this research are a) study analyzes Indonesian acceptance level towards Plug-in Hybrid (PHEV) and Full Battery (BEV) based Electric Car; b) study was conducted in the situation of the pandemic of Covid-19 that might influence psychology of respondents. A questionnaire survey was conducted online from December 2020 to February 2021 to Indonesian people. A total of 154 valid survey responses were obtained. Based on the empirical results, we concluded that environmental concern (ENC) has a significant positive effect on adoption intention (AdIn) on EVs purchasing only with perceived behavior control (PBC).as mediator. In Indonesia, PBC factor influences AdIn factor which is relatively high (path coefficient=0.739). This result is indicating penetration of EVs in Indonesia can be done by prioritizing PBC factors, such as performance attributes/ ease of use (battery lifespan, charging time, maintenance, charging infrastructure availability, etc.) and usefulness (free from odd-even rule, privilege right of using bus lane, and other non-monetary incentives). Other variables such as attitude (ATT), subjective norm (SUN), and personal moral norm (PMN) have no significant effect on EVs adoption intention (AdIn). Since there are limitations of this study, so we suggest that future study can be done in normal condition (recovered from pandemic condition) and extends study to electric two-wheelers market. Additionally, future study should consider increasing portion of questionnaire respondents who have driving or taking on EVs so that study can get more accurate data analysis. Study is expected to help government to engineer intervention policies and guide automotive industries to invest in more accurate market planning. Study is also expected to support other studies in simulation (e.g., forecasting) in future.
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