风险与最优迁移持续时间:高阶风险态度的作用

Siwar Khelifa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

使用双变量预期效用框架,我们开发了一个两期模型,在该模型中,在存在风险的情况下,家庭决定了孩子留守时父母的迁移时间。我们的模型表明,对于给定风险的增加,最佳迁移持续时间可能会有不同的反应。我们提供了一些条件,在这些条件下,即使父母在原籍地有收入风险,家庭也可以减少父母的迁移时间,即使在目的地有收入风险,家庭也可以增加父母的迁移时间。偏爱“危害分解”的思想被用来解释结果。在缺乏不确定性的情况下,我们还展示了家庭效用函数中儿童人力资本和财富之间的相互作用在决定父母最优迁移持续时间方面的作用。本文的最后一部分提出了这一分析的实证意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risks and Optimal Migration Duration: The Role of Higher Order Risk Attitudes
Using a bivariate expected utility framework, we develop a two-period model where households determine, in the presence of risks, the parents' migration duration when children are left behind. Our model suggests that the optimal migration duration may respond differently to an increase in a given risk. We provide conditions under which it is optimal for households to decrease the parents' migration duration despite an income risk in the place of origin, and to increase it even though the income in the place of destination is risky. The idea of preference for "harm disaggregation" is used to explain the results. In the absence of uncertainty, we also show the role of the interaction between child human capital and wealth in the household's utility function in determining the optimal migration duration of parents. Empirical implications of this analysis are presented in the last part of the paper.
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