论经济学家对布尔1854年逻辑概率论的惊人无知《思维规律》:1921年凯恩斯的逻辑概率论《概率论》完全建立在布尔的基础上

M. E. Brady
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引用次数: 0

摘要

凯恩斯的逻辑概率论并不是第一个明确而详细的逻辑概率论。乔治·布尔是历史上第一个提出明确、系统和详细的逻辑概率方法的学者。凯恩斯自己的逻辑理论是建立在布尔和威廉·e·约翰逊的工作基础上的。本文将讨论这样一个事实,即无论是在20世纪还是21世纪,都没有经济学家对凯恩斯如何建立他的逻辑概率论有丝毫的了解,也没有经济学家对凯恩斯建立逻辑概率论方法的学者有丝毫的了解。例如,弗里德曼认为凯恩斯是一个主观主义者。这是正统经济学家常犯的错误。然而,一个更大的空白出现在异端经济学家中,他们完全不知道布尔的作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the Shocking Ignorance of Economists of G. Boole’s Logical Theory of Probability in His 1854 the Laws of Thought: Keynes’s Logical Theory of Probability in the 1921 a Treatise on Probability Is Built Entirely on Boole
Keynes’s logical theory of probability was NOT the first explicit and detailed approach to logical probability. George Boole was the first academic to provide an explicit, systematic and detailed logical probability approach in history. Keynes’s own logical theory was built on both the work of Boole and the work of William E. Johnson.

This paper will deal with the fact that there are no economists in either the 20th or 21st centuries who have the slightest inkling about how Keynes built his logical theory of probability and who were the scholars whom Keynes built his approach to logical probability on. For instance, M Friedman thought that Keynes was a subjectivist. This is a common error made on the part of orthodox economists.

However, an even greater lacuna occurs among heterodox economists,who are completely ignorant of the role of Boole.


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