新冠肺炎疫情对印度股市的影响

Rajani B Bhat, V. Suresh
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摘要

起源于中国的冠状病毒爆发已经感染了近87.5万人。它的传播让世界各地的企业都在计算成本。冠状病毒正在走向全球,它可能会使世界经济陷入停滞。始于中国湖北省腹地的新冠肺炎疫情正在迅速蔓延,世界卫生组织(who)已将其宣布为大流行。现在,从韩国到意大利和伊朗,从美国到英国,都出现了重大疫情。新型冠状病毒的持续传播已成为全球经济和金融市场面临的最大威胁之一。尽管我们的印度经济学家一次又一次地向国家保证,印度经济相对隔绝于全球价值链之外,但融入世界经济,肯定会有一些影响。当股市在2020年2月的最后一周大幅下跌时,这一点就反映在了俏皮上。本研究试图检验COVID-19对印度股市的影响。该研究考虑了四个月的时间,从2019年12月1日到2020年3月31日。该研究的重点是Nifty和Nifty的部门指数以及印度波动指数。研究使用的工具包括相关性、回归、方差分析、方差分析和移动平均。该研究的结论是,中期波动性高于短期,COVID-19对印度股市也有重大影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Covid-19 on Indian Stock Market
The corona virus outbreak, which originated in China, has infected nearly 8, 75,000 people. Its spread has left businesses around the world counting costs. The corona virus is going global, and it could bring the world economy to a standstill. COVID-19 that began in the depths of China’s Hubei province is spreading rapidly, persuading the World Health Organisation to declare it as a pandemic. There are now significant outbreaks from South Korea to Italy and Iran, from America to Britain. The ongoing spread of the new corona virus has become one of the biggest threats to the global economy and financial markets. Even though, time and again our Indian economists have assured the country that Indian economy stands relatively insulated from the global value chain, but being integrated into world economy, there has to be some impact. This was reflected in the Nifty when the stock market took a great plunge down in last week of February, 2020. The present study is an attempt to examine the impact of COVID-19 on Indian Stock market. The study takes into consideration a time period of four months, from December 1st, 2019 to March 31st, 2020. The study focuses on the Nifty and sectoral indices of Nifty along with India Volatility Index. Tools used for the study involves correlation, regression, ANOVA, variance analysis and moving averages. The study concludes with the statement that volatility is higher in medium run than in short run and also there is significant impact of COVID-19 on Indian stock market.
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