Asaad Alyassen, Dhurgham Alajwadi, N. Haddad, N. Khudair, A. Abed, Ahmed Jebra, Mustafa Mohammed, O. Habib
{"title":"伊拉克与部分国家COVID-19流行病学特征比较","authors":"Asaad Alyassen, Dhurgham Alajwadi, N. Haddad, N. Khudair, A. Abed, Ahmed Jebra, Mustafa Mohammed, O. Habib","doi":"10.37319/iqnjm.2.csi.4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Background: The COVID-19 pandemic is a puzzling phenomenon and complete knowledge regarding its\nvarious aspects is yet to be available.\nObjective: This research aims to present a comparative profile of the epidemiological features of the\nCOVID-19 pandemic in Iraq and several other countries.\nMethods: This paper used data on the daily cases of COVID-19 pandemic in Iraq and eight other countries—\nthree from the Eastern Mediterranean region (Bahrain, Iran and Lebanon), four from Europe (Greece,\nSwitzerland, Austria and Norway), along with Brazil. These countries were chosen based on the similarity\nin the date of onset of the pandemic. Relevant data were obtained from several websites, including Corona\nWorld meters, www.sehhty and the Iraqi Ministry of Health for daily reports on new cases.\nResults: Substantial variations were found in the time trend of COVID-19 cases (epidemic curves) and three\nepidemiological outcome measurements (incidence rate, case fatality ratio and cause-specific mortality rate)\nduring the first five months of the pandemic in the nine countries studied in this paper. The four European\ncountries—Greece, Switzerland, Austria and Norway—achieved a leveled curve and still maintain such\nleveling despite their differences in the three outcome measurements. The rest of the countries could not\nachieve any sustainable leveling in their epidemic curves and also had varying outcome measurements.\nAmong these countries, Bahrain showed the highest incidence rate (15531.3/million) but the lowest case\nfatality ratio (0.4%). Brazil had the highest cause-specific mortality rate (274.7/million), and Greece had the\nhighest case fatality ratio (12.2%). The other countries had values that were within these ranges.\nConclusions: The outcome of COVID-19 within the last five months of experience with the pandemic is\nvery difficult to predict. Different countries have exhibited diverse infection-related behaviors and\nepidemiological parameters. A study of the multiple factors that might be behind such variations would be\nhelpful in facilitating a successful exit from the pandemic.\nKeywords: COVID-19, epidemiology, epidemic curve, incidence rate","PeriodicalId":333401,"journal":{"name":"Iraqi National journal of Medicine","volume":"104 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Comparison of the Epidemiological Features of COVID-19 in\\nIraq and Selected Countries\",\"authors\":\"Asaad Alyassen, Dhurgham Alajwadi, N. Haddad, N. Khudair, A. Abed, Ahmed Jebra, Mustafa Mohammed, O. Habib\",\"doi\":\"10.37319/iqnjm.2.csi.4\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Background: The COVID-19 pandemic is a puzzling phenomenon and complete knowledge regarding its\\nvarious aspects is yet to be available.\\nObjective: This research aims to present a comparative profile of the epidemiological features of the\\nCOVID-19 pandemic in Iraq and several other countries.\\nMethods: This paper used data on the daily cases of COVID-19 pandemic in Iraq and eight other countries—\\nthree from the Eastern Mediterranean region (Bahrain, Iran and Lebanon), four from Europe (Greece,\\nSwitzerland, Austria and Norway), along with Brazil. These countries were chosen based on the similarity\\nin the date of onset of the pandemic. Relevant data were obtained from several websites, including Corona\\nWorld meters, www.sehhty and the Iraqi Ministry of Health for daily reports on new cases.\\nResults: Substantial variations were found in the time trend of COVID-19 cases (epidemic curves) and three\\nepidemiological outcome measurements (incidence rate, case fatality ratio and cause-specific mortality rate)\\nduring the first five months of the pandemic in the nine countries studied in this paper. The four European\\ncountries—Greece, Switzerland, Austria and Norway—achieved a leveled curve and still maintain such\\nleveling despite their differences in the three outcome measurements. The rest of the countries could not\\nachieve any sustainable leveling in their epidemic curves and also had varying outcome measurements.\\nAmong these countries, Bahrain showed the highest incidence rate (15531.3/million) but the lowest case\\nfatality ratio (0.4%). Brazil had the highest cause-specific mortality rate (274.7/million), and Greece had the\\nhighest case fatality ratio (12.2%). The other countries had values that were within these ranges.\\nConclusions: The outcome of COVID-19 within the last five months of experience with the pandemic is\\nvery difficult to predict. Different countries have exhibited diverse infection-related behaviors and\\nepidemiological parameters. A study of the multiple factors that might be behind such variations would be\\nhelpful in facilitating a successful exit from the pandemic.\\nKeywords: COVID-19, epidemiology, epidemic curve, incidence rate\",\"PeriodicalId\":333401,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Iraqi National journal of Medicine\",\"volume\":\"104 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-10-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Iraqi National journal of Medicine\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.37319/iqnjm.2.csi.4\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Iraqi National journal of Medicine","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.37319/iqnjm.2.csi.4","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Comparison of the Epidemiological Features of COVID-19 in
Iraq and Selected Countries
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic is a puzzling phenomenon and complete knowledge regarding its
various aspects is yet to be available.
Objective: This research aims to present a comparative profile of the epidemiological features of the
COVID-19 pandemic in Iraq and several other countries.
Methods: This paper used data on the daily cases of COVID-19 pandemic in Iraq and eight other countries—
three from the Eastern Mediterranean region (Bahrain, Iran and Lebanon), four from Europe (Greece,
Switzerland, Austria and Norway), along with Brazil. These countries were chosen based on the similarity
in the date of onset of the pandemic. Relevant data were obtained from several websites, including Corona
World meters, www.sehhty and the Iraqi Ministry of Health for daily reports on new cases.
Results: Substantial variations were found in the time trend of COVID-19 cases (epidemic curves) and three
epidemiological outcome measurements (incidence rate, case fatality ratio and cause-specific mortality rate)
during the first five months of the pandemic in the nine countries studied in this paper. The four European
countries—Greece, Switzerland, Austria and Norway—achieved a leveled curve and still maintain such
leveling despite their differences in the three outcome measurements. The rest of the countries could not
achieve any sustainable leveling in their epidemic curves and also had varying outcome measurements.
Among these countries, Bahrain showed the highest incidence rate (15531.3/million) but the lowest case
fatality ratio (0.4%). Brazil had the highest cause-specific mortality rate (274.7/million), and Greece had the
highest case fatality ratio (12.2%). The other countries had values that were within these ranges.
Conclusions: The outcome of COVID-19 within the last five months of experience with the pandemic is
very difficult to predict. Different countries have exhibited diverse infection-related behaviors and
epidemiological parameters. A study of the multiple factors that might be behind such variations would be
helpful in facilitating a successful exit from the pandemic.
Keywords: COVID-19, epidemiology, epidemic curve, incidence rate