经济数字化是提高国家竞争力的一个因素

N. Podolchak, O. Bilyk, M. Khim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本文考虑了乌克兰经济数字化的主要挑战和好处,概述了这一过程带来的威胁和风险,以制定评估乌克兰数字经济水平的工具和数字化转型计划。研究设计与方法:对所研究的国家的经济和社会发展进行回顾性分析。它考虑到数字化的实施和中期预算计划的使用。排名方法用于显示2019年与2009年各州排名的变化。它采用下列指标:按现行价格计算的国内生产总值、按现行价格计算的人均国内生产总值、失业、国民收入、公共行政总支出和网络准备指数。研究结果:该研究可以得出结论,认为乌克兰需要为数字化创造条件。在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,使用数字资源的能力已被证明是有效的。更广泛地说,我们通过评估数字技术和数字基础设施投资对GDP的影响,以及通过评估数字化带来的生产率增长,来评估宏观经济效应。根据本文引用的估计,到2030年,数字经济占世界大国GDP的比重将达到50-60%。在乌克兰,这一数字可能更高,达到GDP的65%(在乌克兰强制实施数字经济的情况下)。影响/建议:根据所进行的研究,提出了乌克兰数字化发展的两种情景:1)加速数字化和2)逐步数字化。如果情景2得以实施,乌克兰的经济将继续效率低下,劳动力移徙和人才外流将继续,乌克兰产品在国外市场上的竞争力将下降。乌克兰仍将处于文明的后院。情景1设想乌克兰经济在3-5年内向数字经济过渡。在强制方案的实施下,到2030年,乌克兰将成为欧洲创新和新技术的领导者,以及知识中心。贡献:作者进行的研究将允许在欧洲经验的基础上确定乌克兰经济数字化发展的主要方向,而提出的发展方案将有助于在该地区创造最具吸引力的条件,以开发人类潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Digitalisation of the Economy as a Factor in Increasing State Competitiveness
Objective : The article considers the main challenges and benefits of digitalisation of Ukraine’s economy, outlines the threats and risks posed by this process, to develop tools and digital transformation plans for assessing the level of digital economy in Ukraine. Research Design & Methods : A retrospective analysis of the economic and social development of the states in question is conducted. It takes into account the implementation of digitalisation and use of medium-term budget planning. A ranking method is used to display the change in the rank of the states in 2019 vs 2009. It employs the following indicators: gross domestic product at current prices, gross domestic product per capita at current prices, unemployment, national income, total expenditure of public administration, and the network readiness index. Findings : The research makes it possible to draw conclusions about the need to create conditions for digitalisation in Ukraine. The ability to use digital resources has proven effective during the COVID-19 pandemic. More generally, we assessed the macroeconomic effect by assessing the impact of investment in digital technologies and digital infrastructure on GDP, as well as by assessing productivity growth through digitalisation. According to the estimates cited in this article, the share of the digital economy in the GDP of the world’s largest countries in 2030 will reach 50–60%. In Ukraine, the figure may run even higher, to 65% of GDP (in the implementation of the forced scenario of the digital economy in Ukraine). Implications / Recommendations : Based on the conducted research, two scenarios for the development of digitalisation in Ukraine are put forward: 1) accelerated digitalisation and 2) gradual digitalisation. If scenario 2 is implemented, Ukraine’s economy will remain inefficient, labour migration and brain drain will continue, and Ukrainian products will become less competitive in foreign markets. Ukraine will remain in the backyard of civilisation. Scenario 1 envisages the transition of the Ukrainian economy to a digital one in 3–5 years. Under the implementation of the forced scenario, by 2030 Ukraine will become a European leader in innovation and new technologies, and an intellectual hub. Contribution : The research conducted by the authors will allow to establish the main directions of development of the digitalisation of Ukraine’s economy on the basis of European experience, while the proposed development scenarios will help to create the most attractive conditions in the region for the development of human potential.
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