欧洲货币联盟的主权债券利差溢出效应

António Afonso, M. Kazemi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们研究了1999年1月至2016年7月期间10个欧洲货币联盟国家(所谓的“外围”和“核心”国家)的主权债券市场协同运动和溢出效应。在面板设置和二元VAR分析中实施广义矩法(GMM),我们发现意大利和奥地利债券滞后息差的增加对整个样本的息差产生负面影响,而爱尔兰,葡萄牙,比利时和法国滞后收益率的增加则增加了整体息差。在VAR分析中,我们发现样本内的溢出效应大多是正的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads Spillovers in the EMU
We study the sovereign bond market co-movements and spillovers within 10 EMU countries, the so-called "periphery" and "core" countries, during the period 1999:01 to 2016:07. Implementing Generalized Methods for Moments (GMM) within a panel setting and bivariate VAR analysis, we find that an increase in the lagged spreads of Italian and Austrian bonds negatively affect the spreads of the whole sample while in the increase in the Irish, Portuguese, Belgian and French lagged yields increased the overall spreads. In the VAR analysis we find that spillover effects within the sample are mostly positive.
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