亚美尼亚的多元外交政策:“第二次卡拉巴赫战争”后的传统与新的政治现实

I. Bocharnikov
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摘要

本文分析了亚美尼亚多元外交政策的具体内容、成效和进一步实施的前景。本文考察了苏联时期和后苏联时期亚美尼亚国家地位的形成和发展过程。亚美尼亚成为苏联一部分的那些年是其最高发展时期。与此同时,在社会经济和文化发展取得成就的同时,民族主义情绪也在这一时期形成,动摇了多民族国家的基础。亚美尼亚、外高加索和整个苏联政治局势发展发生根本性变化的最重要催化剂是20世纪80年代末纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫自治区发生的事件,这些事件演变为种族-政治冲突。冲突最尖锐的阶段恰逢苏联解体和亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆建国。在俄罗斯联邦的调解下,1994年5月签署了一项停火协定,该协定一直遵守到2020年9月第二次卡拉巴赫战争。本文考察了由于纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫冲突,以及来自阿塞拜疆和土耳其的实际封锁和压力,亚美尼亚建国及其外交政策战略形成的主要阶段。与俄罗斯建立盟友关系是在实施多方向外交政策的同时进行的,重点是在欧洲“东方伙伴关系”计划的框架内关注美国和欧盟。考虑了决定亚美尼亚现代外交和国内政策的主要因素。特别注意分析“第二次卡拉巴赫战争”(2020年9月至11月)的结果所造成的进程及其对在南高加索形成区域安全体系的意义。亚美尼亚同俄罗斯联邦和该地区其他主要国家发展关系的主要因素、南高加索地区军事政治局势发展的条件和因素以及前景已经确定。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Armenia's multi-vector foreign policy: Traditions and new political reality after the "Second Karabakh War"
The article analyzes the specifics and content of Armenia's multi-vector foreign policy, its results and prospects for further implementation. The article considers the processes of formation and development of the Armenian statehood in the Soviet and post-Soviet periods. The years when Armenia was part of the USSR were the period of its highest development. At the same time, along with the achievements in the spheres of socio-economic and cultural development, nationalist public sentiments were formed during this period, which undermined the foundations of the multinational state. The most important catalyst for fundamental changes in the development of the political situation in Armenia, in Transcaucasia and in the USSR as a whole was the events in the Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Region in the late 80s of the XX century, which transformed into an ethno-political confl ict. The most acute phase of the conflict coincided with the collapse of the USSR and the establishment of the statehood of Armenia and Azerbaijan. With the mediation of the Russian Federation, a ceasefire agreement was signed in May 1994, which was generally observed until September 2020 — the Second Karabakh War. The article examines the main stages of the formation of the statehood of Armenia and the formation of its foreign policy strategy, due to the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, as well as the actual blockade and pressure from Azerbaijan and Turkey. Building allied relations with Russia was carried out along with the implementation of a multi-vector foreign policy, focusing on the United States and the European Union within the framework of the European program "Eastern Partnership". The main factors determining the modern foreign and domestic policy of Armenia are considered. Special attention is paid to the analysis of the processes caused by the results of the" Second Karabakh War " (September — November 2020) and their significance for the formation of a regional security system in the South Caucasus. The main vectors of the development of Armenia's relations with the Russian Federation and other leading countries of the region, the conditions and factors, and the prospects for the development of the military-political situation in the South Caucasus are determined.
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