基于数据挖掘的省道干线公路交通事故特征研究

Shang Wang, Yang Zhou, Fengchun Han, Na Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了进一步预防和控制省道主干道交通事故,探讨省道主干道交通事故的时间、空间特征和原因。针对省道干线公路交通安全问题突出,根据某市提供的S325省道交通事故统计和交通量数据,以S325省道为典型案例,分析了该省交通事故的时空和成因特征,并采用k-means聚类方法识别了交通事故热点。结果表明:从时间分布特征上看,全省时间段内存在明显的周期性分布。从空间分布特征上看,省道交通事故数量两端少,中间多,市辖区路段少,乡镇街道路段多。从事故区分布特点来看,省道交叉口事故点的数量和规模都远远大于路段事故点。从事故原因的特征来看,事故原因与事故发生的时间和地点高度相关,造成事故的违法行为可以在时间和地点进行协调治理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Study on traffic accident characteristics of provincial trunk highway based on data mining
In order to further prevent and control the traffic accidents of provincial main highways, the characteristics of time, space and causes are explored. In view of the prominent traffic safety problems of provincial trunk highways, according to the traffic accident statistics and traffic volume data of S325 provincial highway provided by a city, taking S325 provincial highway as a typical example, the spatio-temporal and cause characteristics of traffic accidents in this province are analyzed, and the traffic accident hotspots are identified by k-means clustering method. The results show that: from the time distribution characteristics, there is an obvious periodicity distribution in the time period of the province. In terms of spatial distribution characteristics, the number of traffic accidents on provincial roads is less at both ends, more in the middle, less in road sections of municipal districts, and more in road sections of township streets. According to the distribution characteristics of accident zones, the number and scale of accident spots located at intersections on provincial highways are far more than those located on road sections. From the point of view of the characteristics of the accident cause, the accident cause is highly correlated with the time and place of the accident, and the illegal behaviors causing the accident can be coordinated governance in the time and place.
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