{"title":"社会主义还是资本主义?Tertium Datur","authors":"G. Kolodko, Integration Transformation","doi":"10.15407/EIP2018.01.007","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Two centuries ago, Asia delivered over 60 percent of world production; in the middle of the 20th century it was less than 20 percent. Currently, it is twice as large and this share is still increasing, above all but not only, because of China whose production is still growing at a rate twice as fast as the world average. China is trying to maintain high economic dynamics, inter alia, through investment external expansion. This aim is to be served, among others, by the infrastructure project, drawn up with enormous verve, known as the New Silk Road, which the Middle Kingdom addresses to 65 countries on three continents. While some hope for accelerating their own economic growth, others warn against the risk of becoming dependent on China. The article analyzes these challenges, pointing to the desired directions of irreversible evolution globalization by giving it a more inclusive character, which is also strongly emphasized by the Chinese authorities in their official enunciations. Is China still building socialism or has it already built capitalism? Or maybe both? And maybe none of those two systems as, with the market reforms that deviate from the traditional socialism, it has created something different from the classical types of political and socio-economic regimes known from the 20th century? Some authors have proclaimed that there's been capitalism in China for some time, others claim that socialism has developed there, of course one with a Chinese characteristic. Shortages have been successfully eliminated, but the economic system is unbalanced, showing surpluses this time. So is it socialism, as the official Chinese authorities claim, or capitalism, as asserted by other economists? Tertium non datur? Not at all, as there are yet other possibilities of regime interpretations, and the most fascinating one is being offered by the present-day China, where a unique internal convergence has taken place during the last generation. Elements of socialism intermingle with elements of capitalism and vice versa, creating a new, different quality. Tertium datur.","PeriodicalId":212761,"journal":{"name":"Economy and Forecasting","volume":"55 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"5","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Socialism or capitalism? Tertium Datur\",\"authors\":\"G. Kolodko, Integration Transformation\",\"doi\":\"10.15407/EIP2018.01.007\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Two centuries ago, Asia delivered over 60 percent of world production; in the middle of the 20th century it was less than 20 percent. Currently, it is twice as large and this share is still increasing, above all but not only, because of China whose production is still growing at a rate twice as fast as the world average. China is trying to maintain high economic dynamics, inter alia, through investment external expansion. This aim is to be served, among others, by the infrastructure project, drawn up with enormous verve, known as the New Silk Road, which the Middle Kingdom addresses to 65 countries on three continents. While some hope for accelerating their own economic growth, others warn against the risk of becoming dependent on China. The article analyzes these challenges, pointing to the desired directions of irreversible evolution globalization by giving it a more inclusive character, which is also strongly emphasized by the Chinese authorities in their official enunciations. Is China still building socialism or has it already built capitalism? Or maybe both? And maybe none of those two systems as, with the market reforms that deviate from the traditional socialism, it has created something different from the classical types of political and socio-economic regimes known from the 20th century? Some authors have proclaimed that there's been capitalism in China for some time, others claim that socialism has developed there, of course one with a Chinese characteristic. Shortages have been successfully eliminated, but the economic system is unbalanced, showing surpluses this time. So is it socialism, as the official Chinese authorities claim, or capitalism, as asserted by other economists? Tertium non datur? Not at all, as there are yet other possibilities of regime interpretations, and the most fascinating one is being offered by the present-day China, where a unique internal convergence has taken place during the last generation. Elements of socialism intermingle with elements of capitalism and vice versa, creating a new, different quality. 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引用次数: 5
摘要
两个世纪前,亚洲占世界生产的60%以上;在20世纪中期,这一比例还不到20%。目前,这一比例是以前的两倍,而且这一比例仍在增加,主要原因是(但不仅是)中国的产量增长速度仍是世界平均水平的两倍。中国正努力通过投资、对外扩张等方式保持较高的经济活力。这一目标将通过雄心勃勃的基础设施项目来实现,该项目被称为“新丝绸之路”(New Silk Road),这个“中央王国”覆盖了三大洲的65个国家。虽然一些人希望加快本国经济增长,但另一些人则对依赖中国的风险提出警告。本文分析了这些挑战,通过赋予其更具包容性的特征,指出了不可逆转的进化全球化的理想方向,这也是中国当局在其官方声明中强烈强调的。中国是还在建设社会主义,还是已经建成了资本主义?或者两者都有?也许这两种制度都没有,因为市场改革偏离了传统的社会主义,它创造了一些不同于20世纪所知的经典类型的政治和社会经济制度?一些作者宣称资本主义在中国已经存在了一段时间,另一些人声称社会主义已经发展起来,当然是具有中国特色的社会主义。短缺已经成功消除,但经济体系是不平衡的,这次出现了盈余。那么,它是中国官方宣称的社会主义,还是其他经济学家断言的资本主义?Tertium non datur?一点也不,因为还有其他可能的政权解释,最迷人的是由当今的中国提供的,在过去的一代人中,一个独特的内部趋同发生了。社会主义的因素与资本主义的因素混合在一起,反之亦然,创造出一种新的、不同的品质。Tertium datur。
Two centuries ago, Asia delivered over 60 percent of world production; in the middle of the 20th century it was less than 20 percent. Currently, it is twice as large and this share is still increasing, above all but not only, because of China whose production is still growing at a rate twice as fast as the world average. China is trying to maintain high economic dynamics, inter alia, through investment external expansion. This aim is to be served, among others, by the infrastructure project, drawn up with enormous verve, known as the New Silk Road, which the Middle Kingdom addresses to 65 countries on three continents. While some hope for accelerating their own economic growth, others warn against the risk of becoming dependent on China. The article analyzes these challenges, pointing to the desired directions of irreversible evolution globalization by giving it a more inclusive character, which is also strongly emphasized by the Chinese authorities in their official enunciations. Is China still building socialism or has it already built capitalism? Or maybe both? And maybe none of those two systems as, with the market reforms that deviate from the traditional socialism, it has created something different from the classical types of political and socio-economic regimes known from the 20th century? Some authors have proclaimed that there's been capitalism in China for some time, others claim that socialism has developed there, of course one with a Chinese characteristic. Shortages have been successfully eliminated, but the economic system is unbalanced, showing surpluses this time. So is it socialism, as the official Chinese authorities claim, or capitalism, as asserted by other economists? Tertium non datur? Not at all, as there are yet other possibilities of regime interpretations, and the most fascinating one is being offered by the present-day China, where a unique internal convergence has taken place during the last generation. Elements of socialism intermingle with elements of capitalism and vice versa, creating a new, different quality. Tertium datur.