基于上网电价政策的太阳能发电投资评估:以台湾为例

Zih-Han Lin, Hsiao-Fan Wang
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在台湾,由于日照充足,太阳能是一种有发展潜力的可再生能源。从环境和经济的角度出发,政府制定了一项政策,对安装太阳能光伏系统的个人提供财政资助和回购保证,如上网电价计划。这是一种激励人们投资的方式,这样既可以获得盈利的经济效益,也可以获得减少碳排放的环境效益。由于这种长期投资可能包含风险,因此本研究的目的是通过提出的分析模型来帮助投资者评估和分析预期收益和潜在风险,该分析模型确定给定保证价格下特定时间段的最优装机容量。该模型已应用于台湾某企业,并进行了敏感性分析。结果表明,该模型能够在不确定的情况下,通过预期净现值、投资回收期和内部收益率对投资进行评价,支持净效益最大化决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of the solar power investment with feed-in tariff policy: A case in Taiwan
In Taiwan, solar power is a potential renewable energy to develop because of sufficient sunshine. From environmental and economic aspects, the government has conducted a policy to subsidize the individuals on installing the solar photovoltaic system from both financial assistance and buy-back assurance such as Feed-in Tariff scheme. It is an incentive for people invest such that both economic-benefits of making profits and environment-benefits of reducing carbon emissions can be achieved. Due to the possible risk embedded in this long-term investment, the purpose of this research is to help the investors to evaluate and analyze the expected return and potential risk through a proposed analytical model which determines the optimal installed capacity under the given guaranteed price for specific time period. The model has been applied to an enterprise in Taiwan with sensitivity analysis. The results have shown that the model is able to support decision in maximizing net benefit under uncertainty through the evaluation of the investment with the expected net present value, payback period and internal rate of return.
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