Сhina:军事技术和海军方面的领导

V. Kashin, L. Krasheninnikova, A. Piatachkova
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引用次数: 3

摘要

近年来,中国军事能力的快速增长和军队(尤其是海军)在中国政治中的作用日益增强,可以被视为北京政策的转变,这种政策可以追溯到“改革开放”时期,即明确的被动与和平政策。目前,中国在军事技术发展方面正在迅速缩小美国和俄罗斯之间的差距,甚至在某些领域获得领先地位。这项研究旨在揭示当前中国军事力量崛起的根源,以及中国利用必要的军事资源加强其在世界政治中新的主动态度的能力。主要焦点是对中国海军力量的分析——连同核力量——它们是国家力量全球投射的主要工具。该研究还讨论了中国的其他军事能力,这些能力使中国能够影响世界新秩序的形成。似乎在21世纪20年代,中国已经能够通过有效地使用武力来支持其外交政策,而遏制中国可能是非常昂贵和危险的。新的中国蓝水海军将提供这些能力的支柱,并将得到中国人民解放军空军和中国人民解放军地面部队日益增长的远征能力的额外支持。为中华人民共和国核力量发展海上组成部分的深远计划是影响中国海军在重大战争中发展的另一个重要因素。中国核能力的预期扩张,以及中国接近第三核大国地位的可能性,将极大地限制美国在亚洲和世界各地威慑中国的能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Сhina: Military-Technical and Naval Aspects of Leadership
The rapid growth of Chinese military capabilities and the increasing role of the military – especially the naval – factor in the PRC politics in recent years can be perceived as a shift away from Beijing’s policy dating back to the “Reform and Opening-up”, which was expressly passive and peaceful. Meanwhile, the overall Chinese military potential growth is the result of the systematic implementation of policies rooted in the Deng Xiaoping’s era decisions. At the moment, the PRC is quickly closing the gap between the U.S. and Russia in the development of military technologies, and is even gaining leading positions in some areas. The study is aimed at revealing the origins of the current rise of China’s military power and its capability to reinforce its new proactive approach to world politics with necessary military resources. The main focus is on the analysis of the PRC naval forces as – along with the nuclear forces – they are the main tool for global projection of the state power. The study also addresses China’s other military capabilities, which enable it to influence the shaping of a new world order. It seems that in the 2020s, the PRC will already be able to support its foreign policy by using force efficiently, whereas containing China can be very costly and risky. The new Chinese blue water Navy will provide the mainstay of these capabilities, which will be additionally supported by the growing expeditionary capabilities of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force and the PLA Ground Force. The far-reaching plans to develop a maritime component for the PRC nuclear forces is another important factor influencing the Chinese naval development in a major war. The expected expansion of China’s nuclear capabilities and the possibility of the country’s approach to a third great nuclear power status will greatly limit the U.S. ability to deter China in Asia and around the world.
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