基于混合神经网络的新型冠状病毒大流行智能预测系统

Supriya Vanahalli, Preethi N
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引用次数: 0

摘要

世卫组织通报,从冠状病毒中发现了当前的COVID-19疫情。COVID-19是一场全球性的大流行,它展现了人类最美好的一面和最坏的一面。由于病例每天都在增加,COVID-19正在对公共卫生造成威胁,并对各国的社会和经济发展造成破坏。问题是,由于印度缺乏设施,医院无法及时提供适当的设施和治疗。该项目的目的是建立一个高效的混合深度学习模型,用于预测COVID-19大流行,该模型具有导致COVID-19在印度排名前五的州传播的多个特征。特别采用自回归综合移动平均和长短期记忆相结合的混合模型对确诊病例进行预测。采用ARIMA-LSTM混合模型处理数据集的线性和非线性依赖关系。结果表明,与单独使用ARIMA、LSTM模型的预测结果相比,混合模型的预测结果更好,在预测COVID-19病例方面表现良好。通过这种方式,政策制定者将获得各邦COVID-19病例的事先信息,这将有助于政府和医疗部门采取重要措施来预防它。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Intelligent System to Forecast COVID-19 Pandemic using Hybrid Neural Network
A current outbreak known as COVID-19 has been discovered from the coronavirus was informed by WHO. COVID-19 is a universal pandemic that has brought out the best and the worst of humanity. Due to an increase in the cases daily, COVID-19 is creating a menace to public health and establishes a disruption of the social and economic development of the countries. The problem is the hospitals are not able to provide proper facilities and treatments on time due to the lack of facilities in India. The purpose of this project to build an efficient hybrid deep learning model for forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic with multiple features that are responsible for the spread of COVID-19 in the top five states in India. In particular, a hybrid model that incorporates Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average and Long-term Short Memory is been used to forecast confirmed cases. The linear and non-linear dependencies in the dataset is been dealt with by an ARIMA-LSTM hybrid model. As a result, when compared to the outcomes of ARIMA, LSTM models independently, the hybrid model was giving better results and was performing well in forecasting COVID-19 cases. Through this, the policymakers will get prior information on COVID-19 cases in states which will help the government and healthcare departments to take prominent measures to prevent it.
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